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Do yer bleeping research!

publication date: Dec 8, 2006
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Hi
 
'Do yer bleeping research!'
 
Yes, that's what I told myself after Barcelona drew
with Levante last week, scuppering my perm.
 
I should have waited for the team news as Barcelona
had the game of their season mid week against
Werder Bremen and rested key players for this La
Liga game. Secondly Barcelona were away, so my 2nd
choice, Celtic at home, should have been my banker
bet. Pity that because the other 2 bets obliged.
 
This week, however, I won't desert Barcelona - they
are at home now, and buoyant after confirming
Champions League status. My second team will be
Liverpool this week, rock solid at home, and my 3rd
bet will be Bolton at home to West Ham. They should
NOT lose.
 
Using online bookies to place my bet, profit will be
£40 to £100 stake. I will remember to place my
insurance bet on the 2 draw accumulator on Bolton
and Liverpool which is at odds of 12. So here's
hoping this week.
 
I can see the Chelsea v Arsenal game being under 2.5
goals trading material early doors, along with Bolton v
West Ham
 
Using the football betting science 4 bet plan, I need to
choose 2 banker bets and these will be Celtic and
Barcelona. My 2 other bets will be Liverpool
win/draw and StokeCity at home. The logic with the
last team is they need to get a result to keep their
championship promotion hopes alive
 
A £100 bet returns £47 profit, and we need Barcelona
and Celtic to win, and Liverpool and Stoke NOT to
lose.
 
SEQUENCING
 
Yes Liverpool won away from home, and Luton
ended their dismal sequence last week. Charlton
chalked up their first win for a while. With Hearts at
Home at 1.57, they have a decent opportunity to end
their losing run, but I will lay the opposing team to
cover the draw.
 
 
STABLE GAMBLE LANDED!
 
Cast your minds back to the article on potential stable
gambles during the jumps season, - well I spotted one
yesterday, not in a small field race, but it piqued my
interest all the same.
 
Here's the scenario. AlanKing ran Precious Mystery,
Archduke Ferdinand and FleetwoodForest in the 220
Huntingdon. Here is the betting forecast
 
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 FortOrd,
11/2 Archduke Ferdinand, 8/1 Methodical, Precious
Mystery, 9/1 Ice And Soda, 10/1 Donald, Ring The
Boss, 14/1 Star Of Germany, 20/1 Corals Laurel,
 Hillcrest, Killonemoonlight, Stars Delight, Whist
Drive, 25/1 FleetwoodForest, Talarive, Tobesure,
 Woodford Consult, 33/1 Storm Prince.
 
The outsider FleetwoodForest had been pulled up
twice before (hmmmm - sounds familiar) and had
been off the track 283 days, so was bound to be a big
price. The other 2 horses, as you can see in the betting
forecast, were easily more fancied.
Guess who won - yes FleetwoodForest at 25/1.
 
Coincidence?
 
Maybe, but I'm not complaining neither are the
readers of my blog. Remember what I said in the
article about horses running poorly previously? These
don't come around too often and are worth throw
away each way punts in case they win (and it's
currently 2 wins 25/1 and 20/1 and a 2nd at 20/1 using
this system) 
 
LAY BLOG AND FOOTBALL BLOG READY
FOR LIFT OFF
 
Starting from Monday I will be launching my lay and
soccer blogs - the addresses are
 
Yes the title is long-winded and a bit cheesy but it's
all down to key words you see (thanks to the Blog It
manual)
 
The style of writing will be different but bear with it,
as I also have to include keywords regularly within
the text of the blog so as to gain more credence with
the search engines. So although the texts may appear
verbose, there is reason behind it, but this won't
deject from the content.
 
I wrote my first football blog mid week, and correctly
predicted the Arsenal game being an under 2.5 goals
game, laying Benfica and Steau (hardly rocket
science) and an unders trade in the West Ham Wigan
match (goals scored in the 2nd half so I got out half
time!). A good start!
 
Content will include updates on football systems and
perms as well, with more detail than can be provided
within the limitations of an e-letter and newsletter.
 
The lay blog will look to track current lay systems
and discuss methods of profiting from the excellent
MariaLay plan. I want to update daily with results
from the systems (or provide a link where you can
view the various systems at your leisure and decide
which one fits your criteria).
 
I want to transfer my current back blog into this
blogger.com format too so will be developing this in
the future. Again, more time and space to discuss
various strategies.
 
TEFAL HEAD BACK
 
Yes, Tefal head has got back in touch (he has to drive
a motorcycle and sidecar - the sidecar is for his
brain!) and has the seeds of a new system so I invite
guinea pigs to receive the selections and provide
feedback. I will use http://sequencepredict@yahoo.co.uk as
the email address so please get in touch if you want to
be a tester. All I ask is for your feedback and areas of
improvement. 
 
SYSTEMS SYSTEMS SYSTEMS
 
Well, I must say I am impressed by my copy of the
Melchior system. There has only been one day when
the stop at a winner bet didn't oblige, but this loss has
been negated by the numerous winning days and odds
of the winning selections have been as big as 13/2. It
is an extremely simple system and I have to say it is
different from the Melchior system advertised in the
Racing Post. Apparently I have a pirated version, but
if it continues to oblige then I'm not too concerned.
 
 
This is an arbitrage service that seems to deliver at the
moment. Arbitrage is the most risk free form of
betting, and consequently returns mirror the risk free
element. I have asked if they can provide me with a
trial as I know some people prefer arbitrage betting to
conventional betting.
 
 
I have this system now and will start this weekend.
Initial thoughts? - Well it's not your usual illiterate
nonsense, written by a team of hired chimpanzees,
that is usually sold on the internet. The manual is very
well written and is focused on laying in football
matches (soccer to our US friends!). I look forward to
putting this into action and reporting back my results. 
I think if this system is workable and profitable then it
will suit the vast majority of people simply because it
allows you to bet outside of office hours.
 
Heavy ground has meant that the Foundation system
and other systems have had a few no bet days, so I
will report back once they have sufficient data behind
them
 
Bagsbeater has been quite impressive so far. This
software deals with sectional times, but the software
is really not a necessity for the system to work. I have
a mountain of work to do to catch up with the results
here, as I have to calculate the average sectional times
in each race to enable me to proof the claim that 63%
of first bend winners win their races.
 
The greyhound dutching system has been good,
although on a couple of occasions I have had to wait
until race 10-11 before reaching my target. This is not
overtly worrying as I am not trying to earn a target
amount per race, rather just a target amount per race
MEETING, and the odds of chosen traps are big
enough to leave stakes small enough to be
manageable.
 
 
Mid week and it was panic stations at 5startipster as
he hit a losing run. I spoke to him a month ago and
asked if he had any stop loss facility in place because
he was going to have a bad day sooner or later, and
the response came that he ALWAYS hits a winner.
Well that day came, and although he redeemed
himself with a 4/1 winner following day, the damage
had already been done. I will badger him to include
this stop loss. I still believe in the service, but the
vendor needs to appreciate that there is no such thing
as a sure thing - EVER!
 
Over this weekend I'll update all back and lay results
in time for the blog on Monday and will do so daily
with betfair prices (website allowing). There are some
encouraging results.
 
SAS SURVIVAL TRAINING PULLS ME
THROUGH
 
Yes I managed to get through last weekend unscathed
after babysitting my nephew and niece. It was a bit
touch and go there for a second, but the smelling salts
helped me through. No relatives this weekend -
hurrah, so I can concentrate on some fine football and
horse racing action and look into some new strategies
for you. I am especially excited about Omnitrader,
and want to see how the information provided there
can be used to benefit the bank account!
 
More to follow - have a great weekend! 
 
Clive
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