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Tottenham Hotspuds

publication date: Nov 30, 2007
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Hi

Yes, those lily white dodgepots Spuds (sorry I
mean Spurs!) managed to cock up a first half
against some other dodgepot Danish side in the
UEFA Cup yesterday, but were there any clued-up
punters out there who sniffed an opportunity?

Yes, the mighty Spurs, with England's Number,
er, 3 or 4 now, Paul "D'oh!" Robinson, were 1/6
on to win yesterday's match against Aab (who?
- exactly!). They actually went 2-0 down. I
hope my earlier articles on backing ultra
shorties at enhanced odds triggered some of you
to take the odds on offer for a Spurs victory - a
1/6 shot trading near, and over evens! Yes
please, and we have ALL of the 2nd half
remaining - final result? 3-2 to the Spuds. Quite
unbelievable, and the kind of bet which I term
an " in the hope that..............." bet.

Elsewhere readers of the blog will no doubt be
picking themselves up off the floor as another
MUG PUNTER accumulator I tried went south.
This reinforces, surely, the idea that
constructing an accumulator should only be
done if you can lay it via Betfair's Multiples
facility. 3 accas this week gone all Derby
County on me! So be a bookmaker instead of a
mug punter.

TALKING OF MUG PUNTERS...

Yes this week heralds the, yawn, release of 2
Steven EBrOOKeS opuses on the bleedin'
obvious. One is called the zero-zero which will
no doubt (blah blah blah) shake the betting
world to its very foundations (pauses to phone
Samaritans) and the other is his great exchange
blueprint.

He is a serial re-writer of stuff he's already
mentioned in long gone and forgotten ebooks, I
looked through the exchange blueprint sales
page (in between having my teeth removed with
pliers to numb the pain of the ordeal.)

You can't keep a good man down (well good at
writing ebooks).

Yes EBrOOKeS returns with this new exchange
blueprint, proclaiming

""... Tired of Useless Trading and Useless
Laying systems...? Well so Am I. This is NOT
what you think ..."

Yes, you get a FREE s on the word Useless -
that's the kind of guy he is! What Mr
EBrOOKeS doesn't tell you is that these useless
trading and useless laying systems have almost
exclusively been provided by him, sometimes 2
or 3 a week. As to the results? £16 to £5 stakes
he proclaims, but doesn't tell you, yet again,
that you cannot work this, or, indeed, any of his
racing systems, without following the live
betting market.

Have you "Spent hundreds of pounds on
useless systems which never worked."

Of course I have - I am on your email list!

The poor boy's even losing track about which
system he's marketing this time

"This means that there is plenty of time, every
single day, for profit making. Most systems
require you to have betting bots. For the
Trading Formula, all you need is an internet
connection!"

Trading Formula? - that was an old ebook of
yours Stephen, my old chum - keep up eh!

"The Exchange Blueprint System will
seriously revolutionize the Betting industry,
especially regarding the Betting Exchanges."

But I thought Betfair Revolution did that, and
laying storm, laying impact, etc etc, as its name
might suggest! Can you imagine the betting
industry being rocked by an, ahem £37 ebook
from the mighty EBrOOKeS himself!

Of course this system is only being sold to 100
people, BUT
"Did you create this system?
Yes. I came up with the idea myself and the
reason I'm selling it is because even if 1000
other people make use of the methods... it's not
going to affect me making money from it. I've
been asked by countless people how exactly I
make my money on Betfair - this is going to
show you!"
You'll be pleased to hear that these "countless
people" have now been caught and strait jackets
have been fitted.
So I guess you know what to do by now! Oh,
it's £37 again!

This is becoming a regular occurrence now and
has been for some time now. He actually poo-
poos his previous systems and offers you a new
way to make millions on Betfair. I've had
enough, I don't know about you. I just hope
EBrOOKeS moves into romantic novels, a la
Barbara Cartland in the New Year. He certainly
has the imagination for it.

The clues are there - a hastily put together sales
page - get affiliate chums on board - no
testimonials, and if there are testimonials they
are from his affiliate buddies who are in on the
act. So please don't email me anymore asking if
I've tested an EBrOOKeS masterpiece because I
am not bothering with any of his gubbins - it's
amazing the short memories people have - the
vast majority of his previous efforts have been
gimmicky or variations on the same theme, re
wrapped, repackaged and resold, and there's
nothing that a) you can't figure out yourself and
b) is not available elsewhere, be it from me, or
on the internet. Nuff said!
LOOK OUT! I've been trailing a lay system that
looks like it is really delivering. I've got my
hands on the performance figure for the whole
of 2007 and it looks like a starting bank of
£1,000 on 5th January has grown to - get this -
£111,587!  I am just waiting for the latest results
to go online and I'll tell you more about it very
soon . . .


With the jumps season upon us, recent days
have proved frustration with each way bets
finishing 4th or being pulled up or falling. And if
you feel frustrated, spare a thought for jockey
Barry " we can rebuild him " Fenton. He's got
enough metal in him to be a transformer!
Barry has broken his left fibula and tibula this
week. Add that to his previous 2 broken noses
(no he doesn't have 2 noses - he broke his one
nose twice!), Fractured eye socket, 38 stitches to
his ear, right collar bone broken 3 times, left
collar bone broken 3 times, broken shoulder
blade, sternum, ribs, right femur and 3 previous
leg fractures, and things don't seem that bad for
your lost stake after all.
It must take him an age to go through airport
security!

TOILING TIL THE WEE SMALL HOURS
I was up late last night having a butchers at
Texas Hold Em on Betfair Games as well as
dipping into the Burt Baccarat again to see if my
system still help true - which it did and I
grabbed my daily target - very pleasing. With
the baccarat, I would avoid the end of sessions
where cards are reduced as this can bring up
anomalies and if I were to operate the system
mentioned in the newsletter, I would start in the
middle of a session.
As to the Texas hold 'em, I had a flash of
inspiration yesterday.
Here's what I came up with - it's in its infancy
so is not fully fleshed out.
There are 4 hands in exchange games hold em -
agreed?
Now if we want to lay 4 hands, we have 4
choices - hands 1,2,3 and 4.
The equivalent bet to laying 1 hand is backing 3
hands.
Laying hand 1 is the same as backing hands 2,3
and 4
Laying hand 2 is the same as backing hands 1,3
and 4
Laying hand 3 is the same as backing hands 1,2
and 4
Laying hand 4 is the same as backing hands 1,2
and 3

Now there is a level playing field at the
beginning of each game where the odds are,
generally, 3.98, for all 4 hands.
Now, being above 3 means we can back 3 hands
to level stakes and still make a profit.
What I tried yesterday was to introduce an
element of randomness into my decision making
process regarding which 3 hands to back
initially.

I simply wrote out our 4 options, 2,3,4, then
1,3,4, then 1,2,4, then 1,2,3 on 4 separate pieces
of paper. I put these 4 pieces of paper in an
envelope and selected one at random. These
would be the hands I would back.
This randomness offers us the power to make
decisions without umming and aahing.
The next step is to wait until hands are dealt,
and odds change accordingly. If the odds for the
hand we haven't backed increase above 4.1,
then we can trade and produce a green screen
I did it with £10 stakes meaning the most I
could lose is £30, BUT trading between hands
enabled me to create green screens and also cut
losses.

Yes I produced a profit, and I look on this as a
potential system to be used to get your one-day
target a la Tefal Head - dip in, get the target,
and get out!

You will surmise that luck plays a huge part in
all of this, and there's no getting away from it,
but having, randomly, 3 out of 4 hands covered,
probability is on our side.
I will do this again, capture on video, or create
an article for whatreallywinsmoney.com next
week. It may spark something in you.
For me, the key to exchange games is
TRADING, and not betting. Find a trading
angle and you can increase your chances of
profitability. Also visit www.betfair.com's
forum -the exchange games part - you can gain
some great ideas, ideas which the mighty
EBrOOKeS hasn't yet turned into a "Black
Box" or a "Betfair Secret"

After my fill of EBrOOKeS, I'm hoping to
watch the Brook this weekend as she clings to
Strictly come dancing survival, although with
the sad death of her father, I might not be seeing
Kelly on the Telly this weekend.

Hope you have a great weekend


Clive
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