Hi,


 HATTON K.O. = DUTCH O.K!

Yes the Hatton Mayweather dutch came off in
spectacular style last weekend with Ricky Hatton 's KO
in the 10th round.

It was always a good bet, backing both fighters to win in
one of the 12 rounds! Nice little return for £48 total stake
. Threse bet types don't fall into any mechanical system
alas but are one of those that I stumbled upon.

MULLING THINGS  OVER

I'm travelling back to Guernsey in the next couple of
days so may miss some emails - please bear with me
until I get connected back in the island. It'll be good to
see the old friends again and share some rocquettes
cider (as Homer Simpson would say "Hmmmmmm
Rocquettes Cider!") and meet my nephews and nieces
who love Xmas and want their Uncle Clive to shell out
his hard earned on some toys that they will be bored of
by 5pm Chrstmas Day!

I really am not with it with the "KIDS" alas in my old age
so haven't got a clue what to buy. I've opted for a remote
control helicopter for the boy - you can't go wrong with
that - cue flying it into the greenhouse and smashing it
within the first 1/2 hour! For the little nieces, well what's it
to be? Girls, as we know, are adept at shopping and us
men are not in the same league - even 7 year olds are
experts! Lots for me to mull over with some, er, mulled
wine!

I will only have my laptop with me this Xmas which
means that results will be collated and added to the
website in the new year when I return to Ireland. I'll be
using Fast track plans for presentation purposes and this
should enhance interpretation of results One system I
did mention which is still performing is the extremely
simple -what I'd like to call my "Jade Goody" system - no
you don't have to be in East Angular with Heinstine to be
able to use it. It is so simple that Jade herself could
(after a 6 week intensive course) pick the selections
Go to Racing Post - look through betting forecasts at all
meetings - pick shortest priced horse from all betting
forecasts - back it using 10% rolling bank - go to East
Angular .

Easy - odds are really really short but I have profited
since September to level stakes using 10% of the betting
bank on a rolling basis. This is largely down to a recent
run of 15 consecutive wins which may not be replicated
in the future.  Worth monitoring, I think, for a full 12
months to see if the short odds will produce an extended
profit and the strike rate necessary to sustain the
system.

Others? - well the Top 6 Handicap system has started
spitting out winners above the evens -2/1 price bracket,
and a large proportion of horses are still placing, so this
is definitely one to keep on the right side of - it seems to
have all of the ingredients for a good backing system:

- it selects in small fields (immediately our rivals are cut)

- it selects the best horses ( best weighted in handicaps )

- it selects horses with good recent form ( last 2 races
horses must have placed) and horses who are fit (within
15 days)

- it all adds up to a consistent little system.

I will look over the results when I return to Ireland in
January and see it limiting prices to evens - 2/1 still
profits , or if standard each way betting ,or a variation of
each way betting (perhaps larger stakes on place only
betting with some stakes on the win only part of the bet)
produces a good return. In any case, a system with
definite potential which is not being sold by Stephen
Brookes  - unbelievable scenes!

More on that in a moment...

***************************************************

LAZY LAY SYSTEM RECOMMENDATION

If you missed my email last week, you really should
check this out:

How to make £17,500 pure profit in 11 months backing horses
to lose on all weather venues

I have been tracking The Lazy Lay System since June: it uses
the subtle difference between the all weather venue surfaces
and pinpoints short-priced favourites or market leaders who
have a greater likelihood of losing their races.

And I've been VERY impressed with the results so far. You can
check them out here:

http://www.lazylaycp.co.uk/

***************************************************************

STEPHEN BROOKES V MYSTIC MEG

Stephen is not a man to rest on his laurels - the football
maestro free bets have inevitably turned into an ebook,
which follows hot on the trail of System Zero Zero ( note
to Santa - thesaurus for Brookes for Xmas!). Admittedly
some followers of the tips made money, and that, I
guess , cannot be sniffed at. The 83% strike rate is
good, but expected if the odds for most selections are
heavily odds on and generally under evens. His recent
email crows about the winners he's selected, one of
which was a 1.22 shot - hardly earth shattering and
brave!

I will take a stab at the system Stephen will be releasing
- here goes with my Mystic Meg / Russell Grant head on:

1) look through the day's football matches and make a
note of all selections below evens, focussing on those
teams playing at home predominantly.

2) now with this short list look at recent goalscoring form
for both home and away sides. Has the short odds team
been winning consistently and scoring. Have the away
team been conceding and losing in away games - use
websites such as http://www.soccerstats.com

3) check out websites such as www.betdevil.com to see
their ratings for the games - if one of the short priced
teams have an 80+% likelihood of winning then make a
note

4) back the 2 ultra short priced teams with the best
recent form and record ,who have also beaten their
opponents consistently in the past , in a double to push
the odds up to 1.5 or thereabouts

5) - that's it!

You'll come up with the same ultra shorties that have
appeared in the football maestro emails. If anyone does
buy the ebook, please let me know.

I do like football betting and have been personally
focussing on ultra shorties and alternatives to backing
1/5 or shorter teams  in order to enhance the odds. I
have found that the really short priced teams will
probably score twice at least, which points us in the
direction of a over 2.5 goal bet at odds far exceeding the
meagre win only odds.

In some instances it may be worth chancing an over 3.5
goals bet to really bring the odds closer to evens. With
these over 3.5 goal bets, I would back teams like Man
Utd v Derby which I flagged up in the blog - 1\9 shots at
home which you could back for near evens on the over
3.5 goals. Again trading is the ideal here.

CELTIC V FALKIRK

Also consider the half time/full time markets to enhance
the odds for heavily odds on shots in the football
,particularly if they are playing at home, and take into
account recent circumstances too. A recent example
from the blog again and I focussed on Celtic against
Falkirk.

I looked at previous head to heads - Celtic beat Falkirk
at their ground 4-1 recently. This can give me a
suggestion of the likely score . Also consider teams of
similar ability who have faced the opposition. In this case
we can look at Rangers performances against Falkirk -
3-1 was the score that day so the expectation for goals
is given a further boost. (Transferring this to the
Premiership if we are focussing on a top four team ,how
have the opposition fared against another of the top 4?)

Now look at Celtic's recent form and circumstances.
They have drawn their last 2 games and surely another
draw will not be tolerated and could jeopardise their
Scottish title hopes.

I had 2 options here, the over 3.5 goals bet or the Celtic
Half time/full time bet - ie backing Celtic to win in the first
half and second half.

Final score 4-0 to Celtic (2-0 half time)

It really is not that difficult is it - like I do with the horse
racing, it's a case of logic and a gathering of evidence to
support the most likely outcome .

Another option is laying opponents to 1/5 or thereabouts
shots in a multiple to back. Very very rarely will
opponents of short odds on teams playing at home win.
Yes they may draw but rarely win, and by laying in a
multiple we can increase returns. Remember, if using
Betfair multiples, we want to BACK the lays - ie we think
these lays are going to lose so we back the multiples.

Odds can be increased by including a home team to win
their match.

The horses have been frustrating this week with the
arrival of heavy ground and soft ground which makes
analysis difficult. Ideally races in this ground are worth
swerving. Again you could take a stance is opposing
favourites, especially in the last race of the day in heavy
ground, where previous races would have cut up and
worsened the ground making it more likely that there will
be anomalous results!

I have been suffering from 4thitis with some each way
bets this week - extremely frustrating indeed. Seconditis
is a disease many win only bettors suffer but 4thitis for
each way backers is as frustrating as a conversation
with Jade Goody.

BOTS

Thanks to respondents to the bot testers shout out last
week - I've made a note of names and will be following
up in the new year. Bots, of course, are only as useful as
the selection procedure programmed into them so it will
be interesting to see if any profit. They offer a great
facility for you to make your money work for you without
your monitoring and as such are worthy of further
investigation

I've added another lay tipster to the roster in
www.xlays.co.uk - clever title eh! The results have been
extremely consistent and profitable on the website (
aren't they all) and I have been promised an extended
trial. Some of the lay tipsters I had on my roster have
proved very disappointing . No lay bets for 2 weeks, then
one selection who wins at 11/2 - what!

I want to start proofing some readers' systems at
http://www.whatreallywinsmoney.com in the new year.

One reader is proving extremely fruitful with his system
and I will be proofing his results daily at the site in the
new year. Any other readers with systems they want to
proof to other readers please let me know and you can
expose them to the readership of the website. Please
do, though, provide details of money
management/staking and rules if you are interested in
proofing .

I'm off now, touchdown in Guernsey soon ,mince pies -
check, the great escape check - I've also put 2 stockings
up in case a certain Brook comes down my chimney - I'd
prefer the Brook to a satsuma which is probably what I'll
end up with when I check the stockings
Bye for now and have a great weekend,

Clive