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22/2

publication date: Feb 22, 2008
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LEt down by the Spurs, and I should have known better and used the questions from January's newsletter. Obviously the Carling Cup was in the minds of the manager and the players coupled with NO desire to win the game. A classic case of playing not to lose rather than playing to win. Very frustrating indeed and the mug punter acca lost. It was only an evens bet but a losing evens bet!
The galling thing was I thought Everton would be the team to struggle yesterday but that wasn't the case. The swear jar has been emptied after last night and I have enough money from that swear jar to buy a Bentley!
Bayern decided to show the kind of form which they should have showed in last week's encounter at Pittodrie . Miroslav Klose didn't start the game so I didn't bet on him for the "to score" bet, and the unders came in the Rangers game, and congratulations to rangers for getting through.

At Ayr, another 16/1 system bet obliged in Mr Multifix, 14/1 in the betting forecast opens at 7/1. This scuppered my each way bet . With Kalahari King a non runner ,Silver by nature did win, albeit at a much shorter price

Uimhiraceaathair lost.
Good win for Brook no argument, a mare I remember (the name helps)
Jalil ,the price gapper, won well.


NAD AL SHEEBA

A tricky card

SANDOWN

255
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Hell´s Bay, 7/2 Space Mission, 9/2 Schiehallion, 8/1 Isn´t That Lucky, 10/1 Supreme Duke, 12/1 Fix The Rib, 20/1 Patton, Regal Quote, 33/1 Hillridge, 66/1 Musical Chairs, 100/1 Standandbecounted .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: HELL'S BAY disappointed last time but his previous close third here reads well and a return to that form would give him an obvious chance. Isn't That Lucky may pose most problems

The possibility of an each way option. 6 horses are 22/1 or bigger. Hells's Bay, as you can read, disappointed last time which opens up an each way alternative. Schiehallion ,as 3rd betting forecast fav, could be that each way threat

330
BETTING FORECAST: 2/7 Noland, 5/1 My Petra, 12/1 Psychomodo, 25/1 Kervriou, 33/1 Keepthedreamalive .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NOLAND got the job done in exemplary manner on his chasing debut and is difficult to oppose, though the ground will be as fast as anything he has encountered. My Petra looks the one most likely to expose any flaw in the favourite's make-up and is the obvious forecast candidate

2 horses over 25/1 leaves Psychomodo the threat if we take the option of a straight forecast bet to up the odds on Noland to come first, My Petra 2nd
It's about evens at present which is a vast improvement on 1.26

SOUTHWELL

245
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Soba Jones, 2/1 Nautical, 5/2 Magic Amour, 8/1 High Reach, 50/1 Monasheemini .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The money came for Magic Amour when he won easily on his penultimate start and support here would look significant, but SOBA JONES has won well the last twice and can complete the hat-trick under his optimum conditions

WIth MAgic Amour out, this should accentuate the race as a 2 horse affair. Backing both to level stakes leaves a slight loss on Soba Jones, but a nice profit on Nautical.

WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Metaphoric, 3/1 Prideus, 8/1 Bantry Bere, 10/1 Fredo, Morning Farewell, 14/1 Oakley Heffert, 16/1 Aypeeyes, Chunky´s Choice, Hope Road, 20/1 Amazing Request, Hanbrin Bhoy, 25/1 Born West, 33/1 Diamant Rose, Haar, Linlithgow, 100/1 Beau Bramble .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: METAPHORIC isn't entirely straightforward and will probably be short enough given there are dangers lurking here, but he should be tough to beat if reproducing his debut effort now back on better groun

Why is Hope Road 9/1 early prices - a market mover perhaps? 12 horses are 20/1 or bigger in this 16 runner event, making Hope Road a speculative each way punt incase it is a potential stable gamble
WOLVES is as tricky as usual

THE 3 INTO 1 SYSTEM

My own invention, has had 12 of last 14 come in. No doubt now I'm putting them on the blog it's going to go tits up.

140 sthl yakimov
220 Sand Fabulous jet
330 Sand Noland
345 Warwick Amber Brook
520 Warwick Tribal venture
750 Wolves Kibitzer

I don't want to interfere with personal opinion with this system because it is a mechanical system which allows you to select the night before. Having said that, here's my tuppence worth - Noland will be ultra short , Fabulous Jet is a recent winner, tribal Venture appears in the dreaded HUNTER CHASE!
Kibitzer is in a maiden race with a couple of newcomers.
Let's see how we get on though! A 53% strike rate currently ensures profit


FOOTY
The Spurs attitude and my lack of insight re the upcoming Carling Cup Final cost me yesterday.

I put up LE Havre at 9/10 last week, well they're 4/9 at home this week against Dijon.
A double with Swansea against all at sea Luton bumps it up to 1.98
1 Le Havre v Dijon (Backing Le Havre @ 1.43)
2 Swansea v Luton (Backing Swansea @ 1.38)

Doubles
Selections Odds* Stake Potential win
1 and 2 1.98 £10.00 £9.80
Preference though is to lay the opposition in one of the games and use the other team as a "banker bet"

But we'll see how we get on - advantages - both playing at home - both good recent records. Luton in disarray against the league leaders

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