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28/2 BLOG AND 3 INTO 1
publication date: Feb 28, 2008
Your grandchildren will one day ask "GRAMPA, what were you doing when Georgios Samaras scored a goal" - unbelievable scenes! Rangers and Hearts decided to behave themselves with only 2 yellow cards - 1st goal came in the 25th minute for the first goal odds dutch. The Racing Post proved invaluable yesterday in telling us about Hearts' injury scares which made the 8/13 about Rangers even more enticing - so bear that in mind - any snippets of information that can alter your opinions is worth taking on board. Draw/Draw full time was the most profitable result with the Boro match. Elsewhere we we so near a bumper payout on Lady Wright - trading at 1.72 I could have greened the screen for a £37 profit instead of holding out of a £68 payout for a £5 stake but the horse emptied out but still placed. Olympian didn't place ,neither did Littleton Aldor - the 1.79 was spot on for the place only market in telling us this was no given. You would have got a return on the more obvious Tarabaloo instead of Will Excell but with the latter we could put on smaller stakes for a potential bigger return. The Wolves dutch came off. and we were right to oppose Little Wing ,but Bussell Up only placed. 3 into 1 continues to select inappropriate races , and Sion Hill, although winning, wasn't a 3 into 1 selection - bloody typical!. Beggars Cap won at a silly price. You may be wondering why I keep faith in it - well its because the profits prior to trialling the system out in the open were superb LINGFIELD 210
The defection of Count Cyprano has left the 3 market leaders currently priced at 3.15, 3.3 and 3.95 - all backable to level stakes - staking of £9, £10, £10 will create a slight loss on the best one, £3.80 profit on Mias Boy, and equivalent evens return on Seneschal Beware - apprentice handicap!Only 2 other horses enter the equation and cannot be dismissed because of the race type but probability wise we are covering the 3 most likely 240 BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Dhhamaan, 2/1 Wee Buns, 5/1 Llab Nala, 10/1 Mileaminutemurphy, 12/1 Racie Gracie .
I like these bets - level stakes on Dhhamaan and Wee Bunns produces virtual break even on Dhamaan and nice profit on Wee Bunns. At current prices, Llab Nala is the fly in the ointment. 340 BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Stoneacre Chris, 5/2 Capriccioso, 7/2 Allium, 12/1 Rightcar Dominic, Stoneacre Sarah, 20/1 Gelert, Stoneacre Paddy, 25/1 Sevenovus, 33/1 Stoneacre Ma ,
I would think Peter Grayson has a great chance of winning this. 8 of the 10 runners are his! We can level stakes back the top 4 here in Stoneacre Chris, Allium, Rightcar Dominic and Capriccioso to the following stakes ratios £12, £12,£12,£9 on current betfair prices of 4.5, 4.4, 4.3, 7.2 produces profits of £12, £10.26, £9.12, £1.14 Prices indicate Stoneacre Paddy as the one who will muck it all up BEWARE - 5 furlong maiden! We are though covering the most likely winners in a race where 4 horses are priced 25/1 or over. The X FILES fans will perhaps see a Peter Grayson conspiracy - let the 50/1 shot win ! LUDLOW 450 BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Red Brook Lad, 15/8 General Alarm, 7/2 Beauchamp Oracle, 10/1 Lost Time, 20/1 Wings Of Hope, 25/1 Over Bridge, 33/1 Lord Youky, 50/1 Snitton Salvo .
A hunters chase - not the best betting medium, but for those willing to try and eek out a profit, we have 2 angles - each way on Beauchamp oracle or level stakes bets on Bed BRook Lad and General Alarm I'll go down the each way route on BEauchamp oracle given the surpises that can occur in hunter chases NAD AL SHEEBA 515 BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Curlin, 4/1 Familiar Territory, 14/1 Engrupido, Imperialista, 33/1 Jet Express, 50/1 Arqaam .
Fav coming back ater 100+ days off. 6 runners -obvious each way candiate familiar territory - ready to pounce if Curlin doesn't give his running 615 BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Cocoa Beach, 7/4 Fiesta Lady, 10/1 Classy-Lady, 20/1 Love Dancing, 25/1 Love Of Dubai, Olympic Glory, 33/1 Patio, Star Of Rosanna, 50/1 Dalkey Girl, 100/1 Miss Clonyn, Swallow Star .
Godolphin saddle the 2 market principles - level stakes leaves near break even on Cocoa Beach and near evens profit on Fiesta Lady. I wouldn't be swayed into backing the odds on shot - both market leaders are equally capable. 645 BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Third Set, 13/2 Law Lord, 10/1 Metropolitan Man, Pride Of Nation, 12/1 Almuraad, Golden Arrow, 14/1 Albabilia, 25/1 Crossing, 33/1 Beckermet, 66/1 The Pirate ,
A straightforward task for Frankie and Third Set - the Spotlight commentary seems to think so. TAUNTON 430 BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Ocean Du Moulin, 11/2 Pacha D´Oudairies, 13/2 This Way, 15/2 Master Overseer, 18/1 Feeling, 20/1 Nothing Is Forever, 25/1 Whitegates Ronnie, 33/1 Levantine, 40/1 Seemarye, 50/1 Loch Vic, Skyler, 66/1 Vehari .
Yes, Ocean du Moulin has the old "should be very hard to beat" - Ruby on board , top RPR. , postdata selection, 12 of the 13 tips, but disappointed last time out - Mention of a tongue tie here and the hope the horse responds to it leave me preferring to level stakes back the first 4 , Ocean, Pacha, This, and Master to level stakes. Using standard £10 stakes again, I will stake using the following ratios £20 at 1.66 on Ocean du Mouilin £6 at 9.8 on Master Overseer £7 at 8.2 on Pacha D'oudaires £7 at 9.2 on This Way Leaves £6.80 loss on Ocean, and profits of £19, £16.83 and £23 on the other 3 horses I'm happy to take a small loss on the favourite in the hope he may labour 3 INTO 1 SYSTEM With Beggars Cap the only winner and Little Wing a multiple handicap winner running again and losing, we need to stem the flow with this system. Highly frustrating for me that a losing run coincides with opening the system up. 250 LUDLOW - BLAEBERRY 320 LUDLOW - FOXSPUR 400 TAUNTON - FARMERS LAD 500 TAUNTON -ABBEY DAYS The above are my 3 into 1's today - all over the jumps which is not the best, one in a hunter chase ( I'll get me coat!) , one in a handicap chase. Blaeberry is returning from an absence and looks to have a shout with a small field - 2 outsiders and a hint of a price gap. Foxspur is at a nice 9/4 favouritism currently for Johnson/Hobbs - get your prayer mats out FOOTBALL Those who ignored my Samaras no bet boycott would have got the overs in the Celtic match. Tonight sees 5 games on the coupon at Ladbrokes. Getafe at home at 11/10 appeals but I think this is the Spanish Cup so is not an ideal betting medium. Arsenal LAdies v Everton Ladies tonight ,and if tempers flare there REALLY will be handbags at 10 paces. Arsenal ladies are 2/9 to win, the market is not liquid at all making betting choices difficult. Expectation is for goals and I may venture towards the over 3.5 goals with a view to trading only as over 2.5 goals is odds on. There will be better betting opportunities I am quite sure! |
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