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NOT NOW KATO!

publication date: Sep 17, 2008
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Hi, 

Yes the name of a horse but also something I have
been saying a lot the last week. You see I'm meeting a
nice French girl for lunch down in Killarney today and I
have been brushing up on my Inspector Clouseau
French for the duration of the lunch. I have also had a
crash course from someone called Derek from
Peckham who told me to simply say "beaujolais
Rodney beaujolais" - that, and "a bonnet de douche
Rodney, a bonnet de douche" which is sure, he
guarantees, to impress her.

So I am taking him on his word, but will his guarantee
be as solid (clears throat) as some of the scoundrels
out there in the betting world?

************************
BLOGTASTIC
************************

Continuing with the theme of place only betting, I only
suffered one loss this week which I was very pleased
about when using the price gapper philosophy. It just
goes to show that a degree of personal opinion is
required and picking and choosing price gappers
rather than backing them wholly is the way to go. Of
course 100% strike rate is not possible (and is the
ideal really with such generally short prices for place
betting) but a decent enough strike rate can ensure
profit, and 2 losses only in 2 weeks is good for me.
More work to do though and I really can't submit it as a
"system" because of the personal opinion required.

From a footballing perspective,
http://soccerbettingmoneymaker.blogspot.com/ has
been quiet this week but the Premiership has certainly
been interesting. -
ManCity are the new Chelsea,
West Ham and The Geordie boys have no manager.
ManCity and Robinho! Who'd have thunk it?
They look like good over 2.5 goalers for me against
the right opposition with Shaun Wright Phillips there
to add his wizardry.

There are a number of sub 1.10 football internationals
this week , and yes, it's my close show biz pal,
enhanced betting which can be employed to increase
these stingy odds ( £100 stake pays out £10)
Enhanced how? Well I will be looking at the over 3.5
and over 4.5 goals markets depending on whether the
teams will be playing home or away.

I will also be going for a good old fashioned mug
punter acca to enhance odds to evens for all
selections priced sub 1.10

************************
NEW SYSTEMS
************************

I have been trawling through the many systems I have
to hand to pick a few for trial and there are some
interesting ideas there - time will tell though whether
they are effective enough to pass on to you. One
interesting thing I noticed this week is how many
websites selling the "holy grail" have suddenly
disappeared from the net! Says it all really!

Sportsworld Publishing have released a new backing
system called the Cash Booster which I have only
recently begun to monitor. On the plus side is the fact
that selections can be made as soon as the day's race
cards are online. The negative? I haven't found a
selection yet! Yes this is a very stringent system, and
Betfair have put a market up on whether there will be a
Cashbooster selection before the 2012 Olympics!

Once the selections start to show themselves it will be
very interesting to see the potential - as I say, we can
make selections and place bets (although there is a
price cap) pretty much the night before, or at least
without being tied to the computer screen

***
Betting exchange Profits.
***

Given a mention, albeit briefly, last week, this
particular system does, alas ,require us to be tied to
the computer screen, and is a simple , and potentially
effective, backing and laying system which uses price
movements solely on Betfair.

One tester, Barry, has enthused about it this week,
and he has intelligently moulded the system to fit his
particular betting personality.

As I mentioned last week, the system as it is written
requires accumulator betting until a target is met -
accumulator betting necessitates a 100% strike rate!
BArry has altered the criteria to fit his own needs as he
is uncomfortable with the potential of losing all of the
day's winnings on the last bet. I know the feeling and
my swear jar would overflow and the air would be
bluer than the Blue Moon which shines over
ManCity
at present! Still, this system has potential and I thank
Barry for his continued input.

Of those currently on the market, Stephen Brookes
has kindly sent me his new release to look at:
 
http://www.thetradingproject.com

This is another ebook on trading, and, I'm afraid to
say, for the cost of the ebook I would rather invest the
money in a year's subscription to Fairbot, who will do
all the trading calculations for you, show you horses
who are well backed using their individualised price
graphs and allow you to green up (spread the profit)
with a single click of the mouse. (And no I am not
affilaited to Fairbot although I would probably be living
next to Kelly Brooks now if I was!)

The manual also requires an element of personal input
regarding form analysis so profit/loss will be personally
dependent on your own level of ability in analysing
form and taking a punt that a certain horse is most
likely to be backed or drift because it is not fancied.

From my perspective the ebook is simply nothing new
but the information therein will serve as a decent
introduction to basic trading on the betting exchanges.
 
Trading is, simply, the most risk free method of
benefitting from Betfair, but to trade without specialist,
and value for money software, is folly. With a simple
and affordable bit of kit like Fairbot, you can master
trading in a day through personal observation of the
price graphs for each horse. (And it doesn't stop there
- there's footy and tennis as well) Indeed I have written
articles on trading in the past - these may be worth
looking at.
 
Well, I'm off now to clumsily bump into things while
being attacked by my erstwhile oriental side kick while
trying to impress a French girl with my Derek Trotter
French. Wish me luck, and I'll wish you a beaujolias
week, Rodney.
 


Clive

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