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15/11
publication date: Nov 15, 2008
Everything placed yesterday which was good! Garde Champetre showed why Edna Bolger is your first stop for cross country horses
125 CHELTENHAM BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Big Fella Thanks, 5/2 West End Rocker, 5/1 Ballyfitz, 11/2 Gone To Lunch, 15/2 Dashing George, 14/1 Mill Side, 100/1 Dasher Reilly, 150/1 Mr Parson.
The ideal for place backers - 8 runners - 2 "perceived" outsiders and Millfield at 20/1 reduce the field of potential candidates to 5 of which 3 will place. Guess what! Nicholls /Walsh partner the favourite (again!) Soft ground and the fabled Cheltenham fences the concern for novices 2.8/1.39 435 GREAT LEIGHS BETTING FORECAST: Evs Doncosaque, 3/1 Mootriba, 8/1 Border Maid, 10/1 Cavendish Road, Hold The Bucks, 14/1 Tarawa Atoll, 16/1 Duke´s Emerald, 50/1 Ringo Zaar.
1245 PUNCHESTOWN BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Heads Onthe Ground, 4/1 Drombeag, 5/1 Never Compromise, 7/1 Tawnies, 10/1 What Odds, 12/1 Berkley, 16/1 Battle Axe, 20/1 Ballycarron Lad, Jaspers Dream, Paddy Mo, Russian Buck, 25/1 George´s Friend, Lulumar, 33/1 Misty´s Express, Pondhill Lad, 50/1 Rates Assessor. Another Edna Bolger hot pot at the head of affairs here but heavy ground. Still, we should get a reasonable run for our money if being a little more adventurous 2.54 / 1.25 (market not fully formed) 1230 UTTOXETER ETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Cape Tribulation, 3/1 Phoudamour, 4/1 Ogee, 5/1 Quail, 6/1 Brayford Lad, 14/1 Iconoclast, 20/1 Native Bob, 50/1 Anthony´s Road, Nautical Approach, Oscar Owen, 100/1 El Alamein, 200/1 Mister Pan, Rocket Pocket.
Fav now 6/4 with 2nd fav out to 11/2 - significant? 7 of the 13 runners are 80/1 or bigger which builds up our case for place backing. 5 horses sub double figure odds in the betting forecast - 3 of which will place 2.62 / 1.42 135 UTTOX BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Just Like That, 4/1 Nayodabayo, 5/1 Norman Beckett, 13/2 Chunky Lad, 8/1 All Roads Lead, The Abbots Habit, 33/1 Fishguard Filly, Matinee Idol.
A 2 mile 6 seller and a hint of a price gap 210 UTTOX BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Call Me A Legend, 3/1 Youngstown, 7/2 Moves Goodenough, 8/1 Key Cutter, 14/1 Nothingbutthetruth, 25/1 Dance Island, Marlyn Ridge, 33/1 Cartoonist.
Interesting betting forecast with nly 4 horses sub double figure odds. Fav is an Alan King horse and his string have been in great form 2.1 / 1.22 620 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: Evs Plush, 13/2 Dushstorm, 9/1 Rowan Lodge, 12/1 Mr Chocolate Drop, Royal Manor, Time To Regret, 14/1 Merrion Tiger, 16/1 Machinate, 20/1 Lunar Limelight, 25/1 All You Need, Miss Clarice, Moyoko, 66/1 Foursquare Flyer.
Class 6 0-60 handicap - low grade stuff but that's an eyecatching price gap - MErrion Tiger now 7/1 - potential 16/1 system bet? 2.24 / 1.24 650 BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Arabian Mirage, 11/4 Nemorosa, 9/1 Flora Trevelyan, 10/1 Chic Shanique, Telling Stories, 12/1 Passage To India, Volochkova, 14/1 Seminal Moment, 20/1 Chic Retreat, Gurteen Diamond, 25/1 Luckier, 33/1 Risque Belle.
Interesting gap between the first 2 and the rest of the field BUT this is a maiden fillies event and 7 of the 12 are debutants hence we cannot possibly know how good or otherwise they are! NEM 2.86 / 1.29 AM 3.5/1.41 Note the early move for Nemorosa SHORTLIST To include 125 Cheltenham because its 8 runners with 2 at least that can be safely discounted 435 GREAT LEIGHS - still paying out 3 the place here for 7 runners and at least one strong outsider - good probability bet 210 UTTOX - again 8 runners - 3 the place - Alan King favourite I will chance all 3 on a stop when my target profit is met basis so here's hoping it's Big fella thanks although given it is Satrday and many can follow the markets , a move for 2nd fav must be noted as he is so close to the fav. |
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