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29/11
Nice place yesterday - 2nd in a photo finish but that's all I wanted! Very happy with my analysis of Spinone - Pat Smullen obviously knew something as he ditched his employer Dermot WEld's horse and gave s a nice 6/1 winner!
I can envision problems if having to use www.racingpost.com from 1st December because there are no view all races on one page feature meaning you have to bring up each individual race-this is going to prove difficult for me and my only hope is that www.racingpost.co.uk survives in the interim so just to prewarn you 1225 NEWBRY BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 American Trilogy, 3/1 Cockney Trucker, 9/2 Peppertree Lane, 15/2 Moves Goodenough, 14/1 Norman The Great, Roulez Cool, 16/1 Unfurled, 20/1 Benfleet Boy, Gremlin, 40/1 Brave Quest, 50/1 Lord Oroko, Spanish Cruise. Again Nicholls heads the market here in what can be viewed as a 5 horse race (Norman the Great represents King/Thornton ) Cockney trucker is the mover here into 6/4 and may have to be heeded 2.46 \ 1.37 135 NEWBURY BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Petit Robin, 11/2 Predateur, 7/1 Sou´Wester, 9/1 Its Crucial, 12/1 Bleu Superbe, King Louis, The Wicketkeeper, 14/1 Saintsaire, 16/1 Arumun, 20/1 Brave Villa, 25/1 Oneway .
Price gap here- but a long absence - now a shade of odds on is encouraging and the right man on board. Watch out for BRave Villa -now 14/1 in places may be a 16/1 system bet and worth a shilling or 2 each way 1.99/ 1.3 205 NEWB BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Inglis Drever, 7/2 Blazing Bailey, 11/2 Pettifour, 6/1 Duc De Regniere, 8/1 Mobaasher, 16/1 Labelthou, 25/1 Hills Of Aran, Whatuthink, 500/1 Sterling Moll .
Exciting to see Inglis Drever back BUT chosen as a Scoop 6 race tells us the bookies think this is a difficult one to solve Has the look of a 5 horse race and the market has remained quite static -still looks a decent place only opportunity but as seen with Kauto Star NOTHING is a given over the jumps 2.82 / 1.42 1220 TOWCESTER BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Charmaine Wood, 9/2 Flutter Bye, 6/1 White Moss, 10/1 Overdante, 12/1 Happy Fleet, Present Climate, Sisterhood, 14/1 Snake Skin, 20/1 Somerset Rose, 25/1 Coral Shores, 50/1 Bitesize, 100/1 Simplyirresistible .
Towcester and soft ground do not appeal to me as a betting medium given the killer hill but the fav here hints at a price gap and is a course and distance winner 1.63 \ 1.13 Now odds on with Flutter bye the only real danger if the early market is accurate 1250 TOWCESTER BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Quickbeam, 15/8 Overbranch, 2/1 Consigliere, 33/1 Oscar Owen, 50/1 Roseville .
I like these races for place only betting - 3 vying for 2 places Quickbeam is 4/5 1.72 / 1.25 750 WOLVes BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Barkass, 7/2 Kingsholm, 13/2 Putra Laju, 9/1 Climate, Tallest Peak, 14/1 Keepsgettingbetter, 16/1 Broughtons Silk, Seta Pura, 20/1 Flagstone, Roundthetwist, Semah Harold, 50/1 Orchestrator, 66/1 All About Jack .
iNTERESTING market here with 5 sub double figures Closer inspection needed as this is a late race time and anything could happen i n the interim 2.72 / 1.3 My one a day I think will be Quickbeam purely from a probability perspective - 5 horse race - 2 clear outsiders and a horse now at odds on with a significant gap developed between the 2 marke t leaders and the rest of the field |
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