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6/12
publication date: Dec 6, 2008
Exmoor Ranger a great probability example yesterday - yes only 2 the place but with near market rival out, job a lot easier
1215 NAVAN BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Zaarito, 5/1 Lenabane, 6/1 Oscar Looby, 7/1 Preswell Lad, 8/1 Otay Kawn, 10/1 Liscarton Oscar, 12/1 Bootlegger, 14/1 Benjessy, Chapmans Peak, Even View, 16/1 Heavenly Bound, 20/1 Alittleanoften, 25/1 Ask The Foreman, Crowler´s Luck, Entara, Tonto Kacy, 33/1 Alderseed, Barrington´s Pier, Empire Magic, Jonny Rondo, Ragtime Lucy, The Real Rupee, 50/1 City Beach, Mind The King, North Utsira, Skip The Dip, Supreme Strider, 66/1 By Her Side, Lough Lema, Run For Fun. God knows how many runners - heavy ground - maiden hurdle "very hard to oppose" - only for the brave! 1.95 / 1.23 1225 CHEPSTOW BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Charity Lane, 5/1 Pipo De Re, 8/1 Picaroon, 16/1 Perfect Line, 20/1 Baren De Doc, Cypress Grove, 33/1 Lunar Rock, Owlsley, Radmores Revenge, 50/1 Copper Sound, Phamtom Du Lac.
Heavy ground but why has the fav been backed into 1/3 favouratism - this is a positive Only 2 horses sub double figure odds - Sam Thomas ,after a double the other day should have confidence restored 1.32 / 1.11 1250 SANDOWN BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Clay Hollister, 5/1 Quiver Hill, 11/2 World Shift, 8/1 Cash For Honours, 10/1 Blazing Desert, Murphy, 14/1 Digger Gets Lucky, King Of Castile, Massini Moon, 20/1 Bob ´N´ You, 25/1 Comkilred Champ, Lucky Parker, Native Bob, 50/1 Court Princess.
Fav has hardened into 5/4 - why is Comkilred Champ currently 10/1 - hmmm! 2.38 / 1.39 100 CHEPSTOW BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Nakai, 6/4 Wichita Lineman, 4/1 Pancake, 14/1 Iwillrememberyou.
3 miles in heavy - and the market I think will be the determining factor here - again a clear outsider means 3 are vying for 2 places Wichita the fav 1.36 place 115 WETHERBY BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Andytown, 11/2 Leac An Scail, 6/1 Pay Attention, 12/1 Peters Star, Theatre Belle, Tighten Your Belt, 14/1 Terenzium, 25/1 Balamory Dan.
Soft ground and I do like Barry Geraghty on shorties 1.92 / 1.21 125 SANDOWN
Why is earth crystal 9/4? 3.3 / 1.68 150 WETH BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Punjabi, 5/2 Sublimity, 6/1 Blue Bajan, 25/1 Arcalis, Beau Michael, 33/1 Harper Valley.
Included from a probability perspective but the heavy ground is a concern but the fav still retains odds on status in the live market 1.88 / 1.28 220 NAVAN BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Justpourit, 7/2 Nuvelli, 5/1 Florida Express, 7/1 Beantown, 12/1 Washington Lad, 50/1 Quarryfield Lass. It is Nuvelli who is odds on here! 2.18 / 1.35 235 SANDOWN BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Master Minded, 11/4 Tidal Bay, 10/1 Takeroc, 14/1 Twist Magic, 33/1 Mahogany Blaze, 40/1 Fiepes Shuffle, 100/1 L´Antartique.
A 2 horse race here? 1.65 / 1.32 245 CHEP
Duke of Miskin the market mover - again ground a concern if gettin on a 1/3 shot 1.32 / 1.11 400 GL BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Aurora Sky, 7/4 Miss Beat, 9/2 Port De La Ponche, 7/1 Faldal, 33/1 Eurotanz, Luckier, Seminal Moment, Tattercoats, 50/1 Peace In Paradise, 66/1 Ballade De La Mer.
Miss Beat a non runner surely opens the race up for Aurora Sky? 2.7 / 1.28 My one a day will be the last mentioned race - why? Well all other venues are jumps, heavy and soft ground. The Great LEighs race sees a near market rival a non runner which makes the job of Aurora Sky a lot easier |
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