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15/2
A standard maiden only market yesterday with Hayley Turner's mount
gambled on as if defeat was out of the question. Meanwhile Saints Bay
drifted out to 3/1 and 1.76 to place at the off! YIKES! Still he came
2nd for place money
Ashkazar the highlight for the market movers - done far too early yesterday so lesson learned. Nearer race time today 110 LEOPARDSTOWN BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Mourad, 9/4 Ebadiyan, 7/2 Jumbo Rio, 12/1 Kyrie Eleison, Manor Park, Ready To Rocknroll, 14/1 Celtic Strand, 20/1 Aitchiface. 3 sub 12/1 in a grade 2 event. Edadiyan the one who has leapfrogged Mourad into favouratism 1.19 place 210 HEREFORD BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Black Jacari, 5/2 Nice Style, 5/1 Rileyev, 6/1 Thumbs Up, 14/1 Latin Scholar, She Is A Cracker, 16/1 Ski Sunday, 25/1 Monsieur Cadou, 33/1 Hampton Court, 40/1 Cesium, 50/1 Rio Laine.
Maiden hurdle in soft - Nice style well backed into odds on favouratism but this is a maiden hurdle and this is a maiden in this type of race. Black Jacari has Thornton on board so for me has to enter calculations but his string of seconds, although good for place only betting, signals that the horse doesn't want to do it at the business end 1.35 both of the front 2 to place 215 LEOPARDSTOWN BETTING FORECAST: 9/10 Hurricane Fly, 11/4 Cousin Vinny, 7/2 Pandorama, 14/1 Zarinava, 25/1 Western Charmer.
With the fav a non runner and 2 horses originally 14/1 and 25/1, AND still 2 the place, this has the makings of a great probability race. Cousin Vinny has taken over the mantle of favouratism and is odds on. 1.12 Cousin Vinny 240 HEREFORD BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Rapid Increase, 4/1 Pret A Thou, 9/2 Omme Antique, Scalini´s, 11/2 Shake The Barley, 13/2 Raysrock, 10/1 Silver Sister, 20/1 Sarahs Gift, 25/1 Mud Monkey, Phoenix Eye, 33/1 Jamesdoubleyou.
Saras Gift now 12/1 in places - one non runner at 25/1 should not have caused the potential price cut 245 LEOP BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Cooldine, 3/1 Trafford Lad, 4/1 Forpadydeplasterer, 9/2 Tranquil Sea, 8/1 Nicanor, 9/1 Travino, 12/1 Rare Bob, 20/1 Chiraaz, 25/1 Top Of The Rock.
9 runner field down to 7 and still 2 outsiders. 2 mile 5 in soft sounds a note of caution. Still 3 the place 1.39 / 1.37 / 1.72 for the front 3 in the betting forecast to place 310 HEREFORD BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Phoudamour, 100/30 Western Whisky, 7/2 Pterodactyl, 5/1 A French Horse, 11/2 Bugsy´s Boy, 8/1 Paddys Honour, 14/1 Gershwinner, 40/1 Le Toto, 66/1 Calabrese, Christmas Carol, 100/1 King Of Java, 150/1 Tanner Towers, Tarabela,
2 non runners - 4 horses at 100/1 or bigger. 4th fav a non runner McCoy's Phoudamour 1.43 to place 315 LEOP BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Splurge, 6/1 Fen Game, Mourne Rambler, 7/1 Kandari, Kennel Bridge, 10/1 Flag Of Honour, Mission Possible, See U Bob, 12/1 Alexander Severus, Glenquest, Meritorious, Turtle Time Lucky, 14/1 Enter The Indian, Port La Chaine, 16/1 All Diamonds, 20/1 Almanyan. Alexander Severus into 8/1 -only a 4 point move in a 16 runner field so not a strong market mover 340 HEREFORD BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Parlesotho, 7/2 Double Hit, 8/1 Shenanigan, Sisterhood, 9/1 Dansimar, 10/1 Figurita, Giovanna, 12/1 Joli Classical, Mewstone, 14/1 Butterfly Rose, Callerlilly, 25/1 Green ´N´ Gold, Saphire Night. Sapphire night 14/1 350 LEOP BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Neptune Collonges, 7/2 Notre Pere, 9/2 The Listener, 16/1 Thyne Again, 25/1 Afistfullofdollars, 33/1 Chelsea Harbour.
3 horse race? Chelsea Harbor 20/1 in places could hint at a market move. Well known market leader still odds on anad an element of a price gap, but 2 the place means we have to be spot on 1.34 to place NEptunes Collonges 425 LEOP BETTING FORECAST: 100/30 Agus A Vic, 7/2 Carronhills, 11/2 Marcus Du Berlais, 8/1 Lydon House, Petertheknot, 12/1 Model Son, 14/1 Old Scew Bald, 16/1 Loggan Lass, 20/1 Bishop´s Lane, Jolly Boy, St Matthew, Tiernan´s Terror, Top Twig, Turn The Corner, 25/1 Law Ella, 33/1 Segnor Du Charmil. CArronhills now strong fav and Model son 8/1 Hunter chase over 3 miles 1.3 to place 440 HEREFORD
11 runners down to 7 - 2 clear outsiders - Thornton/king on the market leader. Still 3 the place on BEtfair? My concern is that this is the last race of the day at Hereford - how will the ground be then? Still 3 to place and ASturienne is 1.3 to place 455 LEOP BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sicilian Secret, 4/1 Residencia, 5/1 Liss Na Tintri, 7/1 Chargen, 8/1 Rare Commodity, Rockadare, 12/1 Dawn Choir, Uncle Eric, 14/1 Bostons Angel, Ocean Cowboy, Space Race. 2nd and 3rd favs are non runners opening this up for Sicilian Secret -now 2/5 1.08 to place 3 to place 11 runner race down to 7, and similar concerns as above re ground on last race of day at LEop 500 STHL BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 General Tufto, 4/1 Afton View, Betteras Bertie, 6/1 Very Well Red, 12/1 Mujma, Piccolo Diamante, 14/1 Rampant Ronnie, 16/1 Fairly Honest, 25/1 Singora Lady, 33/1 Siena,
One that nearly falls into my price gapper in a class 6 0-55 system. Would prefer to see a more outstanding price gap. 1.36 to place On a hatrick and Holly Hall riding (who she?) Middle distance event a concern as is the jockey. ONE A DAY Cousin Vinny looks the probability bet of the day at 1.12 , but there may be better value to be had with Nenaphor Collonges at 1.34 ( only 2 to place and a very good field of high quality horses). A faller last time, and in jumps racing ,we always face the potential of fallers (refer Supreme Keano most recently) Sicilian Secret looks to have lost all main rivals but 1.08 is very short Elsewhere Man Utd at 1.42 looks superb as does Lyon at home to promotion team Le HAvre at 1.24 - alternative incase the groudn deteriorates at Leopardstown. You can find info on ground by going to www.racingpost.com - if mention of soft (heavy in places) or words to that effect, then simply no bet. |
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