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20/2
publication date: Feb 20, 2009
Honour Devil placed 3rd but was perhaps not the best bet of the day, given the fact the horse was off since March 2008 The market movers ran well (if we focus on UNDER 5/1 SP) and is a promising system as you will read in the next newsletter 125 STHL BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Clear Sailing, 11/4 North Parade, 5/1 Boss Hog, 7/1 West End Lad, 16/1 Jord, 20/1 Bookiebasher Babe, 50/1 Louisiade, SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CLEAR SAILING looks to hold the best credentials despite the presence of another couple that like to race on the front end and he can make up for his narrow defeat here last time, possibly at the expense of West End Lad.[GN] Move to 8/11
for the fav - it looks on the betting site that its an 8 runner race
down to 6, BUT one horse was doubtful meaning he wasn't mentioned in
the betting forecast. Louisiade is a non runner.1.21 to place 140 SANDOWN BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Captain Tidds, 11/2 Nike Walker, 7/1 Stance, 8/1 Green Belt Elite, Mistress To No One, 10/1 Kilmeena Magic, Miss Pebbles, 12/1 Insignia, 14/1 Darksideofthemoon, Prince Du Seuil, 16/1 Baby Car, 20/1 Danse Macabre, 33/1 Silver Prophet, 100/1 Boogie Dancer. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The improving CAPTAIN TIDDS can build upon the solid platform of his latest creditable Towcester win and appeals in a race that's not as competitive as the field size suggests. Nike Walker and Stance can emerge as the dangers.[BDO] Conditional
Jockeys event so caution required. MArket mover Green belt elite is 3/1
and if staying at sub 5/1 will be backed each way (or win and place
Betfair) Insignis another possible mover 150 WARWICK BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Clay Hollister, 3/1 Alderluck, 5/1 Quiver Hill, 11/2 Vagrant Emperor, 10/1 James De Vassy, 14/1 Galaxy Rock, 20/1 Go All Out, 33/1 Mongoose Alert, 50/1 Saint Espiegle, Waldo Pepper, 100/1 Magic Of The Isles, South Georgia. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It should pay to concentrate on CLAY HOLLISTER and Alderluck. Preference goes to the former who was mightily impressive when beating Quiver Hill at Sandown and has been found an opportunity to restore some reputation en route to Cheltenham next month.[BDO] 7
horses at 40/1 or bigger and McCoy on the hot pot - only 3 sub 10/1
with Vagrant the 3rd at the expense of Quiver Hill 1.26 to place 200 MUSS BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Red Moloney, 4/1 Houston Dynimo, 10/1 Raincoat, 14/1 Chord, Geojimali, 20/1 Bee Sting, Pakineo Des Pictons, 33/1 Pontop, 200/1 Clandestino, Royal Citadel, Spare Days. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Cheltenham could be next stop for RED MOLONEY, who is held in the highest regard by his powerful stable, and there's been nothing to criticize so far over hurdles. With the favourite likely to go off so short, Houston Dynimo will no doubt appeal to the each-way thieves.[AWJ] As happens this time every year, some Cheltenham horses get a run out aat short prices. Now 1/3 in the live market 1.13 to place Chord 10/1 in places 220 WARWICK BETTING FORECAST: Evs Elk Trail, 6/1 Bite The Boss, 8/1 Foresight, Zarilan, 12/1 Stage Acclaim, 14/1 Double Parked, Le Brocquy, Top Ticket, 25/1 Ben Ami, 33/1 Okafranca, 50/1 King´s Alchemist. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ELK TRAIL was impressive when making a successful debut over hurdles at Catterick and can defy this penalty against what looks ordinary opposition.[BDO] PRice gapper
but in a novices hurdle where form is very thin on the ground, hinting
at horses priced by trainer/jockey reputation Le Brocquay 5/1 and I'd like to see him dip below for me to back each way 1.23 to place Bite the Boss hint of a slight move at 4/1 from 6/1 betting forecast is backable each way I suppose but the move is not that big 245 SANDOWN BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Royal Charm, 2/1 Burton Port, 4/1 According To Dick, 14/1 Quarl Ego, 16/1 Shinnecock Bay, 25/1 Wade Farm Billy, 33/1 Search For Gold, 66/1 Marley Roca, 100/1 Champagne Floozie. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ROYAL CHARM, Burton Port and According To Dick look the three to concentrate on. The latter pair may well be capable of better than they were able to show on their last runs but preference is still for Royal Charm, who receives a handy weight concession as a 4yo and whose second in a Listed juvenile hurdle at Auteuil in September probably makes him the one to beat on this debut for Paul Nicholls. [MCu] According
to Dick now 6/4 with only 3 sub 16/1 - will this potential market move
prove fruitful for place only backers According to Dick 1.25 to place 255 WARWICK BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Firth Of Forth, 100/30 Night Safe, 7/2 Sharajan, 5/1 Gentleman Jimmy, 11/2 Kildonnan, 14/1 Double Intruder, 16/1 New Team, 100/1 Auburn Grey. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Sharajan is the most likely to figure prominently but he has won only once and is not straightforward, so for win purposes a chance is taken on KILDONNAN who did so well at this track on testing ground as a novice hurdler. Night Safe is next on the list.[RA] Double Intrude 8/1 300 NAD AL SHEEBA BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Diana´s Choice, 5/1 Munaddam, 8/1 Beaver Patrol, Blue Sky Basin, 10/1 Benllech, Confuchias, Lessing, 14/1 Ans Bach, Charlies Island, 16/1 Keep Discovering, SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: C&D specialist Munaddam should go well if back to his best but he's high enough in the weights and a bigger danger is recent course winner Diana's Choice, from the powerful Mike de Kock yard. She's sure to go close but an each-way chance at much bigger odds is taken with CHARLIES ISL gD, who has had valid excuses for his last four defeats (limitations exposed in Grade 1 company in South Africa and hasn't taken to dirt in UAE) but will be very well suited by the return to grass. [RY] Price gapper here 1.43 to place 305 SOUTHWELL BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Just Five, 9/2 Reigning In Rio, 7/1 Statute Book, 8/1 Le Petit Vigier, 10/1 Dispol Diva, 12/1 Kingaroo, Wahan, 14/1 Kinigi, Patronne, 25/1 Ed´s Pride, 33/1 Miss Moloney. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Unexposed last-time-out winners JUST FIVE (nap) and Reigning In Rio make most appeal here with preference for the former who really took the eye with the manner of his success. Statute Book is also a potential improver, while Patronne might also go well at bigger odds if her new rider gets a tune out of her.[GN] Price gapperhere1.57 to place is quite high for a price gapper 310 MUSSELBURGH BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Divers, 11/4 Grand Theatre, 3/1 Starbougg, 13/2 Night Force, 8/1 Empty Sky, 33/1 Tantobie, 66/1 Kopylova, 100/1 Vallani. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GRAND THEATRE has always looked a decent horse in the making and, although Ayr last time represented a backward step, this kinder surface could easily make all the difference to him. Divers is on the upgrade for his new yard and, wherever he finishes, Starbougg should be in close attendance.[AWJ] Potential
probability race here. Outsiders in the live market at 100/1 , 100/1 ,
and 40/1 reduce the competitive field, it is hoped, down to 5, 3 of
whom will place 1.21 to palce 340 SOUTHWELL BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Longboat Key, 100/30 High Cross, 7/1 Key Decision, 8/1 Sambulando, 10/1 Keen Warrior, 12/1 Miss Keck, 16/1 Antipodean, Lady Dunhill, Teddy West, 25/1 Mochua, 33/1 Diktaram, Spruzzo, Tagalura. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Longboat Key is the pick on form on his Bath third last autumn but has proved expensive to follow this year and might find HIGH CROSS too strong. Sir Mark Prescott's filly will relish this longer distance, though the likes of the older brigade Keen Warrior, Key Decision and possibly Sambulando should also ensure it will be no cakewalk.[GN Front 2 I have place backed previously Lady Dunhill adn Mochua the movers here BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Brave Rebellion, Noir Et Vert, Our Jasper, 9/2 Mr Preacher Man, 5/1 Kalmo Bay, 13/2 Top Dressing, 10/1 South Bronx, 50/1 Has Scored.
Noir et Vert into 9/4 1.61 to place no gimme 405 WARWICK BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Obaki De Grissay, 4/1 The Ring, 11/2 Le Beau Bai, 13/2 Joyryder, 7/1 The Risky Viking, 8/1 Keenan´s Future, Present M´Lord, 14/1 That´s An Idea.
Joy rider and Present m Lord 2 movers at 4/1 Present m Lord is the interesting one 420 MUSS BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Morning Sunshine, Royal Flynn, 6/1 Strobe, 7/1 Farne Island, 8/1 Brian´s Journey, Ella Woodcock, 10/1 Grand Art, Quinder Spring, 12/1 Beau Largesse, 16/1 Solis, 20/1 Chief Scout, 25/1 Ormus, Titinius, 33/1 Ice Image.
3 market movers in Ormus (16/1) , Chief scout (7/1) And BEau LArgesse (7/1) 440 WARWICK BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Forty Five, 13/2 Fujin Dancer, 7/1 Darn Hot, 8/1 Song In My Heart, 9/1 Solitary Palm, 12/1 Cash For Honours, 16/1 Decree Nisi, Ocarito, Pipers Legend, 25/1 Freddy´s Star, 33/1 Custers Last Stand, Dalaram,
Price gapper here 1.35 to place 450 STHL BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Dazzling Begum, 5/1 Bright Sparky, 6/1 Safin, 7/1 Rub Of The Relic, 8/1 Eforetta, 12/1 John Dillon, Lisbon Lion, My Mirasol, Tyrana, 20/1 Snake Skin, Speagle, Top Tiger, 25/1 Adversane,
455 MUSS BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Wave Power, 3/1 Saveiro, 6/1 Den Maschine, 10/1 Carnival Fair, 25/1 Moscow Mischief, 33/1 Glenfarg Bay, Leo´s Quest, 100/1 Zero Six Zoo.
8 runners down to 7, 2 horses are 50/1 or bigger - makings of a probability bet? BUT thi is a bumper 1.11 to place 650 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Itshim, 7/2 Sills Vincero, 9/2 Fashion Icon, 13/2 Weet In Nerja, 9/1 Cindy Incidentally, 14/1 Wee Bizzom, 25/1 Badtanman,
ishtim obvious gambled on winner last time ,flagged up here under the market movers, now odds on in a 7 runner race and obviously looking to get a quick double 1.29 to place 920 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Tartan Gunna, 9/2 Captainrisk, 6/1 My Sweet Georgia, 13/2 Grand Honour, 25/1 Meydan Groove.
5 horse race down to 3 - price gapper remains - now 1/3 anad with 2 places, it only remains to see how he is place only priced with 1 to beat! 1.08 to place Tartan Gunner very obvious in a 3 horse race with 2 to place - best bet of the day probability wise Red maloney slightly bigger price at 1.13 and a chance perhaps on putting faith in According to Dick at 1.25 |
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