Hi

No, I haven't let the late Nirvana lead singer's wife Courtney Love use my new trampoline, it is, of course, Valentines Day tomorrow and I will be spending it with Kelly Brook (well my Kelly Brook 2009 calendar). It is going to be a lovely day. We'll be betting on Betfair, watching the football and rugby and generally being a couch potato.

OH, and also vigorously writing and preparing the next newsletter (in case the boss man might read this!)

Thanks for the Sullivan feedback

Many thanks for the feedback this week regarding one readers inability to get his £2,000 back from Danny Sullivan after requesting a refund due to poor performance (as is his right IN NORMAL CIRCUMSTANCES but this is the Wild West betting industry where no one's watching out for you)

I have passed all of your advice and tips on to the reader in question, and I would suggest that you avoid Danny Sullivan like you would a date with Dot Cotton wearing a bikini.
 
He is typical of those tipsters who part you readily enough from your money, then provide a sub standard service and refuse all returns.

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It's not all doom and gloom!

No, luckily they're not all like Danny Sullivan and his ilk.

I have been monitoring the services of Martin Blakey for some time now, and am pleased to report he is making profits, WILL NOT charge you £2,000, and CAN ACTUALLY BE CONTACTED without acting as if he has just entered the Bermuda Triangle.

A very good week for both the Trading Plan and Pro-Info service.

www.pro-info.co.uk

Just one horse advised on the pro-info service this week, Hollow Jo won 7-2 from 11-2 This service is based around discipline and professionalism, and members know they are getting involved with information that is not available from any other source. The service has been severely held up with the recent adverse weather conditions, but standards have not slipped

www.thetradingplan.co.uk

The trading plan tipping service looks to provide you with information regarding potential market movers (like the 16/1 system) and has a decent week

won 4-1
won 11-2
won 9-2
won 11-4
3rd 5-1
3rd 9-2
2nd 100-30.
5 lost.

An interesting aspect of this service is those horses that fail to reach the target price as set by Martin each day. Members get a list of qualifiers each day with each horse having a target price that it must reach for it to become a definite bet. Those qualifiers that do not reach the target price are obviously not recommended bets, however these horses are throwing up an awful lot of winners and members are realising that there is a lot of scope to be had by taking a closer look at these non-qualifiers.

Last week alone the following non-qualifiers produced...
won 8-1
won 3-1
won 10-1
won 11-4
won 14-1
won 11-1
won 20-1

On Tuesday at Southwell, the 3.20 had 6 potential qualifiers that gave 1st 8-1, 2nd 100-30 and 3rd 33-1.

I hope this continues. The latter service, as mentioned, looks to nail market movers. And is continuing the growing reputation Martin Blakey has. Long may it continue?

So make your choice, Danny Sullivan or one of the many other tipsters like Martin Blakey who have integrity.

Let me have a go!

I thought I'd have a go with a 16/1 type system, which is just operated at lunchtime looking to see a price differential between the betting forecast and the live betting market. Reader's of www.back-lay-trade-horses-football.blogspot.com will have seen these over the last 3 days

2nd 6/1 , 1st 7/2 , 3rd 6/1 , 1st 7/2 , 2nd 4/1 , 2nd 2/1 , 1st 5/1 , 1st 11/1, 2nd 14/1

There were some 12 losers who were not placed, but with that 11/1 winner (far bigger on Betfair) are well in profit.

This is over the last 2 days and the 2nd places play an important part with each way betting giving us at least a stakes return, with the 14/1 horse paying out around 3/1!

It is early days and I need to make distinctions regarding the selections because there are too many selections and within these a few false signals.

This will come with experience I am sure, but is an interesting start for selecting horses using the 16/1 system and without following the racing.

If it's something that looks to work, then I'll definitely share it with you.

I'll be doing this daily - you never know, I might be able to nail more 11/1 winners!

Elsewhere this week it's really been a case of collating results from services such as bettolose, the backtipster (you'll remember he's the 1326 staking plan man -a staking plan which is certainly very interesting)

I've also enjoyed another 100% week on the place only bets, BUT it's been such a tricky week that the prices have been shorter than Ronnie Corbet after a 10 ton weight fell on his head.

That's just the week it's been. All weather venues mean ultra cautious attitude from me.

I've collated results and so far it's a 96% strike rate (I know I sound like a mail shot tipster!) but this, of course, is explained by the ONE A DAY philosophy.

Yes, the odds are crap, BUT you could, if using 10% of a rolling betting bank, have turned an initial £1,000 into £4,500 since November 1st 2008!

So, it's not just a method for using with compounding 1.43% per day (this is the low risk low stake method), you can actually make level stakes and 10% of a betting bank profits with this most simple of methods. Certainly this should be an addition to the betting portfolio. It won't appeal to all, especially those who like the adrenalin rush of bigger prices, but for me is proven, and affords peace of mind and a better return than those clowns who lost 70% of my pension plan savings!

War and Place, my treatise on this form of betting, is still being written as I, erm, write and will include a foreword from Lionel Blair (only joking). It will, of course, include a foreword from Bruce Forsyth, gushing in his praise of the Betfair place only markets. Especially when they pay out 3 the place on a sub 8 runner race after 2 or more non-runners.

I hope to do an update in the next newsletter of the football systems I am trialling at the moment. As I mentioned last week, the overs and unders could be a good method for those trading in running on footy matches on Betfair because goals tend to come in the overs games without necessarily producing the 3 or more goals required for a successful bet, BUT enough goals to hint that over 2.5 goals bets will come in, which means a tradeable opportunity for in running games

Odd Shaped Balls

Well, Italy are looking good for the wooden spoon, and Wales are back on form. Ireland, alas, looked ominously (selfishly speaking) good against the French (alas Madameoiselle Clouseau was not persuaded to support Ireland) ,but it's early doors for my dutch of France, Wales and England over all.

More rugger this weekend. What chance a very unimaginative treble on Wales, Ireland and France?

I suspect it is Wales this week who are layable at 2/9 or 1.28 on Betfair (with trading in mind as ever). Surely England can keep it tight early on, can't they? 

I'm off now to ensure Love is in the Air this weekend by lending Courtney my trampoline til Monday.

Have a great weekend

Clive Keeling