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2/3
Saturday not my usual analysis because of time constraints and an
inability to chack the footy for the weekend so not representative
230 Stratford BETTING FORECAST: Evs Raincoat, 11/2 Dip In The Med, 13/2 Riddleofthesands, 7/1 Castellina, 12/1 Blessed Forever, Izita Star, 16/1 Maille Abaa, 20/1 Samurai Warrior, 33/1 Always Cruising, Surprise Act, 66/1 Street Warrior, 100/1 Elevate Jack, Just Designs, 150/1 Awe.
First price gapper of the day Izita star now 4/1 -important move? 1.23 to place and Izita 1.69 to place Samuri Warrior 12/1 too 240 LING BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Louphole, 3/1 Jessica Wigmo, 9/2 Prince Of Delphi, Radiator Rooney, 7/1 Rabbit Fighter, 16/1 Brunelleschi.
2 non runners and the outsider still remains -can we discount it? Leaves 3 then vying for 2 places. I have noticed with these races that even when the probability is on your side, strange results do happen 1.36 , 1.63 , 2.12 (prince) to place BIG prices indicate this is far from straightforward even with 2 non runners 300 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Ready To Crown, 7/2 Greyt Big Stuff, 4/1 Boo, 11/2 Sam Whiskey, 13/2 Risk, 20/1 Deep Squeeze, Look Up, 25/1 Formedable, 50/1 Apache Indian, Dr Light, Mtoto´s Prince, 100/1 Bitesize, Peas ´n Beans, Wotavadun.
5 sub 20/1 in the betting forecast but another maiden hurdle and these races can be difficult to read. Risk a slight mover into 2nd favouratism 350 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 North Parade, 3/1 New Star, 6/1 Watson´s Bay, 8/1 Dragon Slayer, Motivated Choice, Prince Noel, 12/1 Kildare Sun, 20/1 King Of The Beers.
It doesn't get any easier here with this claimer - interesting market mover in New Star into 7/4 Positives - 3 the place in an 8 runner race 1.34 to place 400 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Transvestite, 11/2 Archie Gunn, Farmers Cross, Milan Deux Mille, 10/1 Blazing Desert, Mollys Garden, 16/1 Bring It On Home, Inchloch, Istron Bay, 20/1 Haldibari, Petrus De Sormain, Prince Des Marais, 25/1 Santarctique, Zelos, 33/1 Katalak.
Haldibari move into 10/1 410 LINGFIELD BETTING FORECAST: Evs Onemix, 13/8 Boscage, 7/2 Pyrus Time, 50/1 Aegean Rose, 100/1 Tightrope.
5 runner race - 2 places - 2 horses at 40/1 and 100/1 redcing the field to 3. Boscage odds on but a maiden runner debutant 1.23 , 1.3 to place the front 2 ( 2 the place) 430 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Paradise Expected, 3/1 Dew Drop Inn, 11/2 Glenda Hoddle, 17/2 Gone Cloudy, 11/1 Bundle Up, 16/1 Elsie May, 18/1 Present, 20/1 Definitely It, 25/1 Flag Flier, Photogenique, 28/1 Baker´s Girl, 33/1 Evening Class, Miss Merenda, 40/1 Captivate.
4 under 10/1 but conditional jockeys 1.63 to place is very big for a price gapper 450 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Blue Tomato, Imprimis Tagula, 6/1 Savile´s Delight, 8/1 Lethal, 10/1 Hart Of Gold, Peter´s Storm, 12/1 Geoffdaw, 16/1 Brazilian Brush, 20/1 Trinculo.
Class 6 claimer over 5 furlongs - another tricky race. Blue Tomato has come 2nd last 4 times ,not beaten by much. Only 2 horses under 10/1. Any reason why Blue Tomato should not be competitive in this race given his consistency in the place only market? 1.34 / 1.46 to place the front 2 500 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Mighty Moose, 5/1 Great Tsar, 11/2 Strident, 6/1 Humid Climate, 15/2 Michigan D´Isop, 8/1 Rash Moment, 9/1 Silver Adonis, 10/1 Noble Bily, 14/1 Najca De Thaix, 18/1 Day Du Roy, 20/1 Milton Des Bieffes, 25/1 Craven, Tom Fontenailles.
Rash Moment the mover here into 4/1 530 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Frascati Park, 11/2 Red Rouble, 7/1 Books Review, Stratford Stroller, 8/1 Little Lord West, 10/1 Divy, 12/1 Paddy The Pirate, 33/1 Beau Signor, The Giant Bolster, 50/1 Rioroy, Shadow Wood, 66/1 Barlin Bay, Devon Native, Phare Isle.
PRice gapper BUT 11 of the 14 are newcomers and fav is 5 months off and carrying a double penalty 1.22 to place ONE A DAY The kind of poor quality fare you would expect pre Cheltenham, and it's claimers, conditional jockey events, maidens, maiden hurdles - all very unappetising. First race of interest must be the 410 LINGFIELD - why? Well 2 clearly priced outsiders in this 5 runner race (40/1 and 100/1 in places) Of those remaining, the Johnston/Fanning Boscage is odds on and backed BUT is a debutant with Onemix having just the one run being a near market leader. Dare we take the chance with this debutant beating at least one of Onemix or Pyrus Time to place - if so 1.3 to place may be a risk worth taking 450 WOLVES - Blue Tomato is a consistent placer , finishing 2nd 4 times on the trot - only him and Imprimus are under 10/1 BUT will Blue Tomato place again or bomb out in another claimer? Will Blue and Imprimus both be placed? 1.34 to place shows again that this is no gimme And that's it today in a day where I feel very uneasy getting involved at all. ALTERNATIVES - Shaktar are 1/5 away from home to Illichevets - 1.25 on Betfair -again I am going purely by price - away from home and 1/5 - must have an outstanding chance of winning I may actually opt for Shaktar at 1.25. I know nothing about the teams save they were recent opponents of Spurs. Home team are 10/1 to win!! We will most likely be facing this lack of quality racing up to Festival time If there is an opportunity in the live market in the horse racing prior to 5pm kick off, then I will attempt to get my target profit. 410 LING must be the better probability wise surely and we must have faith that the money behind a newcomer to 1) racing 2) the all weather is warranted and the $475,000 can at least beat one of the likely rivals as the outsiders run as outsiders |
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