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9/3
Disappointing price on Sir Tantallus yesterday, very well backed and going off at 1.07 not exactly a good place only price.
The day before Cheltenham today and 3 jumps meetings. I guess we won't be seeing any of the big boys out 200 PLUMPTON
REgular readers will recognise Neil Harvey, a place only selection last time out. Now with 3rd fav Creagh Bay a non runner, surely this makes life easier for the front 2 1.08 / 1.17 the front 2 to place Soft ground a niggle as is the extra 5 furlongs that Neil will be encountering today 210 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Silk Hall, 11/10 Pepite De Soleil, 14/1 Criterion, 25/1 Dinarius, 33/1 Bombardier Wells, Idle Words, Samurai Warrior, 50/1 It´s My Day, 66/1 Galley Slave, Running Buck, 100/1 King´s Alchemist.
So much for the big boys resting - Choc Thornton is on Alan Kings fav here 3rd fav now 10/1 (each way thieves?) -only 3 under 25/1 1.1 and 1.21 to place 220 TAUNTON
Sparkling now 4/1 Sparkling now 3/1 , Bosamcliff 7/1 300 PLUMPTON BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 El Dancer, 7/2 Intac, 13/2 Jeczmien, 40/1 Estuary House.
Obvious contender 1.06 to place 310 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Bold Policy, 9/4 Berings Express, 3/1 Celticello, 7/1 Bring It On Home, 14/1 Starstruck Peter, 66/1 Own Up, 100/1 Doubleexcel, Feeling Peckish, Haroum, Pasqualina Mia, Send For Tim.
AP McCoy on the fav here 1.25 and 1.22 to place the front 2 320 TAUNTON BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Thundering Star, 9/2 Soulard, 15/2 Mad Moose, 12/1 Another Display, 14/1 Son Histoire, 16/1 Soft Spoken Guy, Top Ticket, 20/1 Marwan, Sizeable Return, 33/1 Maille Abaa, 50/1 Boomtown Kat, 100/1 Forest Lass, Soviet Cat.
PRice gapper. Another display a market mover 7/1 and MArwan slightly inot 16/1 1.13 to place 330 PLUM
RApid Increase 5/1 in places 400 PLUMPTON BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Cross Kennon, 6/1 Wiesenfurst, 8/1 Wondersobright, 10/1 Silistra, 14/1 Bellassini, Tamrai Dancer, 20/1 Mustamad, Ton-Chee, 25/1 Quiditch D´Ouxy, The Slider.
PRice gapper here with no market movers amongst the others. Soft ground the concern 1.16 to place 410 STRAT BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Pascha Bere, 9/2 Mae Cigan, 5/1 Norman The Great, 7/1 Orpen Wide, 10/1 Kingscape, 12/1 Desert Lover, Pagano, 14/1 Evelith Echo, 16/1 L´Eau Du Nil, Rapide Plaisir, 20/1 Starr Flyer, 25/1 Danikhali, Lemon Silk.
Whyis Danakhi 8/1 in places and Lemon Silk 14/1 in palces. The non runner was originally 16/1 and should not have adversely affected matters 420 TAUNTON BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Green Belt Elite, 9/2 Divvys Dream, 6/1 Ballymorn, Novarra, 10/1 Silver Bank, 12/1 Cat Six, Owlsley, 16/1 Winchester Red, 20/1 You Can Of Course, 25/1 Bollitree Bob, Fortification, 33/1 Anay Turge, Dawn At Sea.
Winchester Road now 11/2 in places 430 PLUMPTON BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Man Of The Moment, 5/1 Push The Port, 6/1 Portrait Royale, 8/1 Tomillielou, 10/1 Alderbrook Girl, Zimbabwe, 14/1 The Speaker, Victree, 16/1 Miss Doublet, 20/1 Impress, Napolito, 25/1 Strolling Vagabond, 33/1 Count The Cost, 40/1 Another Club Royal.
PRice gapper of sorts and Strolling Vagabond 14/1 in places 1.7 to place 440 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Oopsmylord, 5/1 Thirtytwo Red, 13/2 Bravery Scotch, 8/1 Kingsmill Lake, Mr Goofy, 10/1 Moscow Court, 14/1 Babysitter, 16/1 Doof, Hume Theatre, 20/1 Super Cannes, 25/1 Watchthespace, 33/1 Balloughton, 66/1 Lanicene, Little Rocker.
PRice gapper in a 2 mile 7 hunter chase! Bravery Scotch a slight mover here into 4/1 510 STRATFORD BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Flanagan, 3/1 Pipe Banner, Quideo De Touzaine, 5/1 Quatzar, 10/1 Ashleys Lad, 14/1 Miss Sassi, 20/1 Our Ashley, 25/1 Simply Wings, 33/1 Canyouseeme, Supreme Platinum, 50/1 Disco Jack, 100/1 Magusta, Midnight Fun, Nishnash, Tram Express, Troop The Colour.
Pipe banner has leapfrogged into favouratism at 6/4 ( the McCoy factor?) AShleys LAd 5/1 in places CAn you seeme 12/1 in places SHORTLISTERS 200 PLUMPTON Neli HArvey looks obvious but 1.07 really is poor for a horse going up in trip on soft ground. 210 STRATFORD - Silk HAll slightly higher but still a poor 1.1 to place. Has the right man on board 300 PLUMPTON - El Dancer is 1.25 to win in a 4 runner race and 1.06 to place ( compare this 1.06 with a 33/1 outsider with Neil Harvey at 1.07 in a bigger field) 400 PLUMPTON - Cross Kennon is a price gapper and at 1.16 is the biggest priced to date ONE A DAY NEil HArvey - the concern here is the exposure in staking for target profit per day for a horse who has excelled at 2 milers and whose furthest run in race conditions has been 2 mile 2 furlongs. Will today's extra distance expose any stamina limitation? The price is short because the 3rd fav is a non runner. Zemsky has only had one run under rules over 3 miles 1 furlongs so today's distance should hold no worries and 1.17 bumps the price up .BArry Geraghty on board but a concern over lack of experience under rules As a price gapper, Cross Kennon's price is a little more palatable at 1.16 and he looks to be the call at the prices today. A winner last time convincingly, this was not in keeping with poor previous form. Is this an anomolous result or has the horse turned a corner? Beaten a total of over 170 lengths in his 3 races prior to his 22 length victory last time out!! El DAncer - 1.06 to place is again poor but a realistic assessment of a 1/4 shot's chance - With a 33/1 outsider he surely has to 1) not fall and 2) beat one other to place only. Over 2 miles, 1.25 to win is tradeable I suppose For me, I may actually double up tomorrow. Liverpool v Real MAdrid must surely be a contender for under 2.5 goals or ,safer, under 3.5 goals instead of today's selections , ditto Juventus v Chelsea? Wednesday will see MAn Utd v Inter Milan in what is sure NOT to be a goalfest. For me, these bets are far safer than any of today's selections 2nd leg matches where goals are worth a hell of a lot of money. Liverpool will shut up shop, and Chelsea only need to score without conceding, or indeed draw Man Utd cannot afford to concede period. Today's price for the obvious El DAncer is wholly unappetising but he should beat one at least and place at the poor 1.06. I would suggest that tomorrow there will be better value place only selections with Cheltenham upon us and a 2nd bet can be taken in the Champions Leagueunder 2.5 goals market to compensate for laying low today! |
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