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9/4
Live market followers will have seen Filiun's race decimated to ,I think, 4 or 5 runners with still 3 the place, AND I POUNCED ON IT! Superb probability bet.
Green Beret won but I was just worried with the absence. Copenhagen and Celtic won. Market movers heleped by Garstang a 12/1 winner in the evening meetings 140 FOLK BETTING FORECAST: 100/30 Musiara, 4/1 Monsieur Chevalier, 7/1 Diamond Laura, 8/1Diamond Affair, 10/1 Papageno, 12/1 Anjomarba, Lady Lion, Little Perc, Safari Camp, 20/1Ever So Bold, 25/1 Our Georgie Girl, Rufus Roughcut, Saachi´s Vision, MARKET MOVERS - Diamond affair into 5/2 favouratism and Ever so bold 11/1 in places A race with many debutants so the usual confidence in market movers is dampened in this case as we have only the possible of a gamble to follow and no collateral form to check 150 WIN BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Weststern, 11/2 Quiny Boy, 15/2 Tenor De Balme, 17/2Jocheski, Star Tenor, 10/1 Hampton Court, Murphy, 11/1 Gainsborough´s Art, Lepido, 12/1Grand Article, 14/1 Wujood, 16/1 Lunces Lad, 20/1 High Carol, Nesotho, 25/1 Bid Art,Katalak, Ruby Valentine, 40/1 Zion. MARKET MOVERS - Lepido into 5/1 , Grand article into 7/1 and High Carol into 11/1 It worked backing multiple movers yesterday in one race with a 1st ,2nd and 4th in a 16+ handicap , the winner coming at 10/1 210 FOLK BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Rare Art, 5/1 Perfect Class, 6/1 Battle, Riflessione, 7/1 Defector, 10/1 Red Rossini, 12/1 Jeremiah, Mr Flannegan, 14/1 White Shift, 16/1 Shadow Bay, The Winged Assasin, 20/1 Amosite. Red Rossini 6/1 and The Winged Assassin 7/1 MARKET MOVERS 220 WINCANTON BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Wednesday Country, 3/1 Ede´Iff, 6/1 Joe Deane, 8/1 Classic Clover, Dennis The Legend, 12/1 Alcatras, 16/1 Orion Star, 33/1 Maree Hall, Serve Notice, 50/1 And Your Point Is, Lavenoak Lad. MARKET MOVERS - Lavenoak lad 12/1 ( check ou the betting forecast price above!!) and Orion star 12/1 230 LUDLOW BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Fade To Grey, 3/1 Capo Di Capi, 5/1 Khun John, 7/1 Petrosian, 14/1 Hum The Tune, Shanahan, 20/1 Backlash, 33/1 Southern Bazaar, 66/1 Mac Don, Star Berry,
PLACE ONLY - FAde to grey remains strong at 11/10 but a note - he has unseated rider and fallen in 2 of last 3 races. 4 horses are 33/1 or bigger and only 4 under double figure odds. Down in grade but this is a selling hurdle 240 FOLK BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Artistic License, 5/1 Resplendent Alpha, 6/1 Aye Aye Digby,Rash Judgement, 8/1 We Have A Dream, 12/1 For Life, Hustle, Vhujon, 14/1 Buxton, Credit Swap, Regal Royale, 25/1 Billy Red. Vhujon 7/1 in places MARKET MOVER 250 WIN BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Earth Dream, 7/1 Major Malarkey, Pourdel, Presentandcorrect, 10/1 Or Sing About, Richard´s Sundance, 14/1 Lordsbridge, Mister Wiseman, Winsley Hill, 25/1 Portland Bill, Wun Chai, 50/1 Prince De Lacour.
Price gapper but unnervingly 11/4 in the live market. Pourdel a market mover into 9/2 along with Portland Bill at 14/1 in places and Lordsbridge 6/1 in places 310 FOLK BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Three Moons, 4/1 Towanda, 7/1 Polly´s Mark, 8/1 Invincible Isle, 12/1 Qelaan, Saa´Ida, Stormy´s Prelude, 16/1 Crag Path, Hold The Star, 33/1 Asakusa, 50/1Pursuit Of Purpose, 100/1 Mono´s Only, Vita Mia,
PLACE ONLY - THree moons now at 4/5 and usually Ryan Moore tends to boot these shorties home, but this is a maiden fillies event and Grag Hill is 10/1 market mover Price gap enhanced in the live market. Caution - 2nd fav is a debutant and must be interesting if 2nd fav? 330 LUDLOW BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Gee Dee Nen, 4/1 Aqualung, 10/1 Creagh Bay, 12/1Shenanigan, 14/1 Baddam, Sawpit Solitaire, 100/1 Perryston Prince. PLACE ONLY - fav now 1/2 and 4/9 in places but looks a difficult race with only 2 places 350 WIN BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Caoba, 5/2 Alflora Dora, 7/2 Lady Hillingdon, 5/1 Rith Bob, 11/1Palmito, 12/1 Charlottes Webb, 33/1 Chilla Cilla, 50/1 Ecureuille Rouge, Hardly Humble, Meet Me At Dawn, Sally Army, 66/1 Classical Act, Quoin, 100/1 Newnham Flyer.
A race of 2 halves. 6 horses are 100/1 or bigger, one is 33/1 leaving an apparent 6 horse race for 3 places. 400 LUD BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Supreme Duke, 3/1 Black Hills, 9/2 Fier Normand, 6/1 Sou´Wester, 9/1 Kilrogan, 10/1 Prestbury Knight, 12/1 Dev, 33/1 Bring Me Sunshine, 50/1 Tyup Pompey. MARKET MOVER - Prestbury Knight 7/1 410 FOLK
420 WINCANTON
310 FOLK - Three Moons is 1.21 to place. Can we make a case for a fav in a maiden fillies event with 13 runners and 2nd and 3rd favs debutants? Well
1.25 to place Sharp drop in class to class 6 after placed efforts in better races. Jockey has ridden horse before. Female jockey on board a slight negative but not facing professionals like AP McCoy et al 545 TIPP - IT has been wise, in the past, to ignore heavy ground possibles, but a mention for Three Rocks, a potential Group Horse!RAn in a group 3 in heavy and obviously well beaten. 1.12 to place and only 2 places so we really must be confident, and certainly, Spotlight is confident "very hard to oppose now" The niggle of course is the ground ONE A DAY A day, again, where I would prefer a footballbet but I'm aware my cautious attitude yesterday was unfounded. The strongest case today I think is Three Moons. The others are in a selling hurdle, Hunter Chase, and a heavy ground 2 the place race. Next best would be Turthen to monitor in running A good football bet as an alternative looks to be Boca Juniors at 1.16 at 115am tomorrow morning. Football teams at home priced this low usually win by 2 clear goals or more so a degree of confidence here. I am going purely by price here, so anyone fancying this do a google for Copa Libertadores and just check Boca have been booting home the goals. Previous similarly matched games have seen score lines of 3-0 and 4-1 In conclusion, a maiden fillies race with 13 runners is not my ideal at all (exacerbated by the absence of the fav), but the hope is those previous 2nd places can at least be replicated
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