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  What Biz Opp?

Hmmm, BETTY...

publication date: May 29, 2009
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Hi,
 
And so, at the end of another month, I see my place
only betting bank increase some more, but the month
turned sour thanks to Jamie "Frank" Spencer's inability
to get Thomas Baines placed yesterday at Yarmouth.

I could hear him yesterday telling his wife " Hmm, Betty,
the horse trod on a rollerskate at the start, and then I
lost my beret, Betty, and had to find that, and by the
time I did, Betty, the race was over "

Such is life. But a £2,476 profit to £100 daily stakes is
reduced to £2,376 instead (since November 2008), and
Frank Spencer ended a 40 long winning run for these
one a day selections so hopefully May will welcome in
some more profits and another lengthy winning run. The
blog's there to help you, BUT the hope is you can do
this yourself as some readers are doing.
 
Sometimes their choices differ from mine. After all, I am
not the Messiah, (just a very naughty boy!) and can
sometimes call it wrong when there are better
opportunities elsewhere. BUT marry a one a day
philosophy with the correct selections, either with
backing, laying, or football, and it is a proven money
maker

Incidentally, for those who like enhanced betting, how
about 1/100 shot Kopenhagen (mentioned on the blog)
trading at 1.3 after going a goal down.

I mean, how many times are you ever going to get to
back a 1/100 shot at near enough 1/3!
Watch out for these enhanced bets on football  - the
value is extraordinary.
 
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Protege System
 
And what about the systems which I have received
recently. Well has the Protege System been hit by the
curse of Sportsworld Publishing?

There seems to be a number of fundamental flaws with
this horse racing backing system from Tony Gibson.
 
Firstly, we are asked to back to 1 point stakes, but this
system has a tendency to actually produce multiple
selections in a single race.

So, if we take the 245 Ascot on the 29th April, hooray!
We got a winner at 11/2, BUT we also had to back a
total of 5 horses is that race. This left us with a marginal
profit rather than an expected 11/2 return
 
The first race of my trial produced a 4/6 winner BUT we
had to back 2 horses in that race , so a loss in real
terms!
 
Secondly, there have been some huge priced placed
horses with this system, in the 3 days since my trial
began, 2nd at 22/1, 2nd at 33/1 and 2nd at 14/1.
 
Now with the staking set at 1 point win per horse, these
selections are producing a ZERO return. Surely it would
be prudent when backing such big prices to turn that
one point win stake into 1/2 point each way?  A 33/1
shot can return up to 4/1 for the place part of the bet!
So at this early stage, the Protege System is not
delivering sufficient winners to negate the many losers
(which is a natural occurrence, of course with backing
multiple selections in a single race)
 
It's reliance, I feel, will be on converting one of those
22/1 or 33/1 shots that come 2nd into a winner.

So, at this early stage, not really a system I'd be happy
with at all.

Moodymares - A Case For Moody Miss Marple

No, not an information product on how to cope with the
fairer sex after their place only selections come 3rd in a
7 horse race, but the new offering from the Winners To
Losers crew, (see www.moodymares.info) and already I
hope these words will be echoing in your minds
"Beware mass marketed lay systems"

As was seen with Winners To Losers (which incidentally
continues to disappoint) lay prices drift above their
natural threshold thanks to sheer weight of numbers
laying the same system horse. This eventually leads to
fixed liability lay staking becoming largely redundant
and a system's "claimed" profits severely curtailed.

And so the cycle may begin again with Moody Mares.
Numbers are, apparently, restricted, SO WHY OFFER
AN AFFILIATE LINK AT THE WEBSITE THEN?

I doubt numbers will be restricted. Indeed, the affiliate
brigade are sharpening their claws in anticipation of an
email inbox invasion in the very near future.

What can I ascertain from this system? Well the title,
and the presence of female names in the results, leads
me to think that this is a lay system which focuses
solely on mares and fillies.
 
This has already been covered with Fancy Fillies and I
would guess that Fancy Fillies is the originator of the
idea for this lay system.

So, take a look at the freely available results and see if
you can ascertain whether the selected fillies /mares
come in:
 
- the first race of the day?
- the first race at the venue for the day?
- Or are we focussing on fillies and mares in specific
race types such as handicaps?
- are we focussing on fillies or mares on the flat ,or in
the jumps ,or both?
- are we looking for mares and fillies who are a specific
price in the betting forecast?
- or specific venues ( the all weather?)

And so on?

Get the old Miss Marple hat on and try and suss this out
yourself.

The claims in this website really get me too. £1.3
million? Sounds like a load of utter Bertie Ollocks I'm
afraid.
 
This looks very much like a backfitted system since
2000, formulated using specialist websites and
software. I'm pretty certain that NOONE, but noone has
made £1.3 million from this system.

THEORETICALLY THEY COULD HAVE YES, and
theoretically I made £200K place only betting since
November 2008 using £10,000 stakes!

Be very careful indeed - again using my Miss Marple
powers of deduction, I suspect these profit claims have
been calculated under a "best case " scenario - perhaps
£100 level stakes? If so, you already know that laying
up to double figure odds horses with £100 level stakes
is not really advisable or realistic.

So, learn from the past, and wait for the feedback on
this system to surface. The frenzy they'll whip up will
make you want to purchase early, but I would say "Hold
on!" and wait and see initial reactions on forums etc.

2 main systems in focus this week, and here's wishing
you a great Bank Holiday weekend. I'm off now to find
Frankie Spencer's beret - it's near the starting stalls at
Yarmouth I think, and if I don't, Betty is sure to be a
moody mare!

Regards
Clive Keeling
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