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Curley's off spending his tax free dough!

publication date: Sep 13, 2010
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Hi,

Hooray, my recent stint as uncle to a 10 year old, two 8 year olds
and a 4 year old has come to an end for the time being. My bank
account breathes a huge sigh of relief as there are no more fair
rides to pay for, nor ice creams, games of crazy golf, and the rest.

I am free at last! (well for 3 months).

On my way back to, ahem, sunny Ireland, guess who I bumped into at
the airport? Yes, none other than one Barney Curley. I must have
been the only person to recognise him.

To remind you, let me take you back to the of 10th May this year:

"Four horses, three trained by Curley, were combined in a string of
multiples at big odds, and when three of them won many well-known
firms were left facing massive payouts as the carefully orchestrated
gamble cost the betting industry more than £1 million."

Well, what else could I do but drop to my knees in Wayne's World
Style and repeat the words "We're not worthy, we're not worthy"

Well, I didn't go that far to be honest. I did say hello to the
Great One who had obviously decided to spend his (or rather the
bookies) money on a nice break abroad.

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I remember this betting coup well, as all of the horses involved
were identified using the 16/1 system of mine, which highlights
potential stable gambles. Are you familiar with the 16/1 system? If
not, give me a shout and I'll fill you in. It's a nice little
technique for uncovering potential stable gambles that the bookies
would rather you know nothing about (quite obviously!)

-----------------------
QUICKER THAN USAIN BOLT
-----------------------

I'd just finished discussing each way betting in a recent eletter
when What Really Wins Money contributor (and all round Brain Box)
the StatMan completed his statistical analysis of the best horse
races in which to employ each way betting. I read the article which
will be featured in September's Newsletter, and it's a cracker. And
don't worry, while the StatMan has done all of the statistical work,
he has left you with a nice, simple, easy to follow betting system.

Andrew David from OPM also throws his hat into the ring to further
persuade you that each way betting deserves your consideration -
remember if it's a bet the bookies hate, then that is a hint in
itself!!

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LIECHTENSTEIN - WE GAVE YOUR BOYS ONE HELL OF A BEATING.
--------------------------------------------------------

So said many a Scot on Tuesday 7th September as Scotland hosted the
might of Liechtenstein in a Euro Qualifier.

Why do I mention this bet? Not to gloat. No! But to make you aware
that this was one of those games that could have netted you a huge
return. In my What Really Wins Money article on football recently, I
mentioned this type of football match which turns up infrequently
but has the chance of changing your betting bank considerably.

Let me look in detail at this match. Here are the important factors
in this match that I took note of.
1) Scotland, playing at home, were 1.11 to win this match and were
expected to do so with ease.
2) This is a must win for Scotland - quite simply if they don't win,
they might as well kiss goodbye to the Euros.
3) Scotland are playing a team who have lost 10 and drawn 2 of their
last 12 away matches. In 8 of those away matches they did not score.

Now, I am afraid to say that Scotland are no great shakes
themselves, as those doing their research would have noted. Scotland
only scored once in their last 8 internationals.

Still, a home win is expected against an opposition comprising the
usual brickie, carpenter, post man et al.

0-0 Half time

51st minute. The mighty Liechtenstein score first. There is, most
certainly, juice loose aboot the hoose at this scoreline! A team who
score rarely have taken the lead away to Scotland!

First things first. I have been harping on about enhanced trading
for who knows how long. Well I hope you got involved. I did!

Football > Scotland v Liechtenstein : Match Odds Showing 1 - 2 of 2
Selections
Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Scotland  2.53 200.00   Back     07-Sep-10 21:17  306.12
Scotland   1.58 320.33  Lay      07-Sep-10 21:22  -185.80
*Average odds:  On 
Back subtotal: 306.12
Lay subtotal: -185.80
Market subtotal: 120.32
Commission @ 4.7%: 5.66
Net Market Total: 114.66

Back Scotland 1-0 down at odds of 2.53 - this for a team 1.11 pre
match.

Kenny Miller restores parity in the 62nd minute.

Scotland's odds reduce to 1.58 for me to lay off and guarantee a
profit regardless of the outcome.

Now nothing! Where is the Scotland 2nd goal? Hello? Has anyone seen
a Scottish 2nd goal anywhere?

Remember this is a must win.

Let me fast forward you to the 97th minute. Yes, timing sponsored by
Sir Alex Ferguson.

Up pops McManus to spare the blushes of a nation.

And it is here that you could have cleaned up.

Let me remind you this is a must win for Scotland. Nothing else will
do. Simple as that.

Here's what you could have done in the 95th minute. Back Scotland at
odds of 25/1 or bigger or lay the draw at odds sub 1.10 for a huge
upside and de minimus downside.

These games come along very rarely. I think Chelsea featured in one
last year when they just had to win - no questions asked - and did
win in the 90th odd minute.

The best I have done with this strategy has been to back 1.25 Celtic
at odds of 15/1 on Betfair and they scored a winner in the 90+
minute.

So, keep your wits about you. The last match like this featured
Estonia who were 1-0 down to the Faroe Islands at home, and won 2-1
with 2 90 minute goals.

Your stakes can be small, but payout huge if you keep the faith

So watch out when Barca are losing 1-0 to Hercules this weekend and
there's 2 minutes to go!!

I hope you found the correct scores eletter last week of use. Do
take the time to try it out this weekend. You might pleasantly
surprise yourself with your Mystic Meg abilities.

Have a great weekend from a semi retired Uncle (well until Christmas
at least)

Clive
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