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The one place the Pope did not visit this week

publication date: Sep 17, 2010
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Hi,

I've been keeping my eyes open, hoping to spot the Popemobile in these here parts this week and for good reason.

Wednesday saw the Kerry National at Listowel. Murtagh, O'Brien, Pat Smullen, Ruby Walsh and a certain AP McCoy visited County Kerry on Wednesday (the latter somewhat mind bogglingly interrupting his holiday in Portugal for a couple of rides in less than sunny Kerry).

Surely a chance to see McCoy in action would have attracted his Holiness before his visit to the UK?

Well, I went at least. Living in Guernsey as I have done for the majority of my life, I don't get a chance to meet these legends in their lifetimes so I had to make the effort on Wednesday and, to quote one local "twas fierce craic" (which roughly translates as "I quite enjoyed that")

I met McCoy and was greeted by a " what are you fecking looking at?" type stare -the Champ must have had his game face on! All in all an excellent day out.

So, Barney Curley and AP McCoy in 2 weeks. What chance the Kelly Brook hatrick by next Friday?

Elsewhere this week I want to remind you of the efficacy of enhanced football trading.

Yes I am still harping on about it, and for good reason, as there were 2 outstanding betting opportunities this week.

Barcelona v Panathanaikos. Barcelona were 1.15 pre match to win this Champions League match. Here is how the game panned out.

Panathanaikos scored first. These 1.15 pre match odds for Barcelona rose to 1.76 - a gift if ever there was one!!

And 2 minutes later the chance to trade came upon us. Nice profit. And while I am on the subject of Barcelona, they did have another enhanced bet at the weekend. Barcelona went down 1-0 to Hercules. Then they went 2-0 down to Hercules. I backed them at odds as high as 8 but they did not oblige this time.

Enhanced betting generally will work. Not always though! So the lesson here is to have a staking plan and bet a proportion of your bank each time an enhanced trading bet may appear.

Juventus v Lech Poznan

Let's look at how the game panned out.

14' Artjoms Rudnevs (pen)

30' Artjoms Rudnevs

Giorgio Chiellini 45'

Giorgio Chiellini 50'

Alessandro Del Piero 68'

90' Artjoms Rudnevs

I was lucky enough to notice the scoreline when Juventus were 2-0 down, and this is how I decided to enhance bet this. Look at the first goal! It is a penalty. So, it is not from open play.

This fact gives me some confidence to back Juventus. In this particular game, I experimented by backing Juventus and laying Lech simultaneously. Juventus scored before halftime and this is the profit produced.

I backed Juventus at odds of 4.82 (and bear in mind they were 1.33 pre match). When they scored, I laid Juventus at odds of 3.35 for a £43 guaranteed profit.

When Lech Poznan were 2-0 up, I laid them at odds of 1.76 for a stake of £131.58. When Juventus scored, I backed Lech at odds of 2.66 for £86.86 for a profit for a £45 profit.

As you can see from the scoreline, I could have held on and traded out for greater profit at 2-2 and even greater profit at 3-2 to Juventus.

What can we learn from this?

• You must decide whether to trade out as early as possible or wait in the hope that...

• Perhaps you can back the strong favourite that has gone a goal down and lay the opponents and only trade one of those bets after an equaliser/ goal scored by strong market leader. This way you can hope that the strong market leaders come from behind and take the lead so you can maximise profit.

• Trade out at any rate! Imagine you had left your enhanced bet on Juventus without trading and that 90th minute equaliser by Lech Poznan would have seriously darkened your mood.

Do look out for these, as I have said many times before.

We've gone each way crazy this September!

This September's What Really Wins Money sees a real each way focus which I hope readers will enjoy. The Statman, as mentioned last week, takes us on a statistical journey into each way betting, Andrew David points, in a Derren Brown style, to the psychological side of betting, and each way betting, and even the Patriarch has caught the each way fever. I hope WRWM readers will find these very interesting and thought provoking. Of course, there's lot's more in this month's WRWM including an address by the Pope (that is pending!) and a centre spread of the Pope Mobile for you to keep for yourself.

I've off now to sniff out more enhanced football trades. I've even nagged myself into believing in this strategy!!

Have a great weekend

Clive

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