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Wins Readers in Cheltenham Clover!Hi In February I did a Cheltenham Festival Special newsletter edition of What Really Wins Money, with a real focus on attacking the bookies with each way betting and the bookies have taken a battering from the horses flagged up. I cannot comment on what’s to come today, Cheltenham Gold Cup day, as my relationship with Mystic Meg has hit a rocky patch, but here’s a summary of the last 3 days of another memorable and quite superb Festival. I focus here specifically on Andrew David’s each way Cheltenham article. And, as you will see, it really does pay to think each way (because with each way betting you can get your stake returned if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd and sometimes 4th - thus preserving the betting bank) Day 1 1.30 Cheltenham - Spirit Son (2nd) - Advised 8/1! 2.05 Cheltenham - Finians Rainbow (2nd) 7/2 Advised 7/2 2.40 Cheltenham - Bensalem (1st) 5/1 Advised 10/1! 3.20 Cheltenham Oscar Whiskey (3rd) Advised at 14/1! On Day One, you’d have simply been returning to the bookies to collect on all bets, and those who got on Bensalem at 10/1 owe Andrew David a Guinness. Day 2 1.30 Cheltenham - Chicago Grey (1st) 5/1 Advised 6/1! 2.05 Cheltenham - Oscars Well- (Unplaced) - unlucky made a mistake at the last! 3.20 Cheltenham - Sizing Europe- (1st) 10/1 Advised 12/1! A whopping +16.50 points at Advised prices and +12.10 points profit at SP Day Two and it was more of the same from Andrew David and I think Sizing Europe backers and Chicago Grey backers owe Andrew another Guinness. Day 3 1.30 Cheltenham - Wishfull Thinking (2nd) 7/2 - Advised 10/1 Only bet yesterday (probably because Andrew was so drunk with all the Guinness’s he was being bought) and another return from the bookies at advised SP. On top of this was a statistical master class from the Statman which would have helped you considerably in reducing field sizes and looking for backing and laying angles. What did we learn from Andrew David’s each way philosophy? Quite apart from the profit of 37.10 points at advised prices (or 27.80 points at SP) you may have noticed that Andrew only had one unplaced selection (an 87.5% place only strike rate) which really does advocate each way betting as advised in WRWM! In previous eletters I’ve put forward some each way ideas and this week vindicates the thought that each way betting should be something you consider when you back horses. There is a standout clue to these bets’ effectiveness. The bookies hate each way betting! If the bookies hate them, it means they must be punter friendly! This Month’s WRWM I am working on March’s WRWM and this month sees the transition from the Jumps Season to the New Flat Season. The double hard jumps horses get put away to be replaced by the primadonnas of the flat. This part of the season can be precarious for punters but the Statman has looked at the Stats (as he does), and points to trainers and jockeys to follow in the first 35 days of the Flat Season. So all is not lost. I look at the Trader Club this month, a superb club which focuses on, guess what? trading! I am a fussy beggar when it comes to recommending anything in my newsletter, and this service from Centaur Academy is first class and looks to have a long term profitability potential for the new breed of betting, which is TRADING! The Patriarch goes to the dogs, and Martin Blakey looks, like the Statman, at the beginning of the Flat Season and how we can profit from it. And there’ll be more besides. I only wish there was another Cheltenham Festival for March’s newsletter. I’ll be trying to do WRWM specials for some of the big flat season meetings this year as the Cheltenham issue was such a success, and will share some info with WRWM eletter readers of course!! By the way if you’re not already subscribed to the WRWM newsletter you can pick up a 30 day riskfree trial here. Enter Silly Season All those football betting aficionados (try spelling that after you’ve had as much Guinness as Andrew David) be ware the ides of March (and April) as the Football Season enters the only 2 defining months that matter. We saw last weekend Europe wide that top v bottom does not necessarily mean that top will win. Brescia (2nd from bottom) v Inter (2nd from top) ended 1-1. AC Milan (top) v Bari (bottom) ended 1-1. Man City (3rd) v Wigan (bottom) ended in a 1-0 and a goalkeeping error the only difference. We are entering the part of the season where the bottom sides will have to play up, or go down, and that means there may be opportunities to become a football layer and oppose the short priced favourites in top ( or thereabouts) v bottom clashes in the run up to the end of the season. So do look out for these top v bottom clashes throughout the European season and exploit them if you can! And Here Comes Motor Man No there is not a new team in F1 called Toro Rosa, or the Pink Bulls, the MotorMan’s spellcheck is in for a service. He will be back in time for the 1st race of the season on 27th March in Melbourne, exclusively in this eletter. He knows his onions so I hope we can profit from his passion. And Before I Go! My sister is doing the London Marathon soon (I ate a Marathon - before they changed its name to Snickers - in London once, that was far less taxing) and is looking for some donations for her charity which is the CLIC Sargent for Children with Cancer. Her website is virginmoneygiving so give if you want to give. She will appreciate it. I’m off now to help Andrew David with the Guinness’s waiting for him. Hope you had a great Cheltenham. Have a great weekend. Clive |
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